TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a24…90a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5364.2%34 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$38.03
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$13.17
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.58
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$44.62
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$82.86
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$85.83
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+45.1%+$67.7
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$67.67
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.46
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$197.17
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200.47
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$137.32
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.5%+$92.09
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$105.99
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$70.33
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.51
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.18
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$35.54
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.6
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$24.53
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.48
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.85
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$179.52
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.57
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Stormbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$48.08
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$41.05
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$73.13
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$65.78
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.67
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.