TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Connecticut Sunof Chicago Sky, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Chicago Sky61c19,682$12,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,006.2510749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Chicago Sky9c19,141$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6279318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Chicago Sky51c16,070$8,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,117.414353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Sky11c12,523$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.4934726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Connecticut Sun37c11,942$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,492.2114353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Connecticut Sun51c10,398$5,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,121.312144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Sky0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun50c7,714$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.311,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Sky0c6,900$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun73c6,591$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.7899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun59c6,145$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.2785158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun54c5,799$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.4919458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Chicago Sky31c5,702$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.0536750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky63c5,270$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.9450952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago Sky21c5,158$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.5819428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Chicago Sky42c4,600$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9503933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun40c4,204$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.283748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Sky61c3,440$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.0314452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun39c2,980$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.0240550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Chicago Sky34c2,936$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.919146.2%42 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Chicago Sky19c2,600$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Sky27c2,521$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2626147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Sky13c2,388$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6423049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Connecticut Sun46c2,178$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.4912165.3%79 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun66c2,123$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.1155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Connecticut Sun62c2,061$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.485655.4%31 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun59c1,936$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.331,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Chicago Sky3c1,875$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.255149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Connecticut Sun39c1,843$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.334967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…70b1backed Chicago Sky57c1,648$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.861573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun77c1,586$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.4574942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun39c1,456$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.4178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Chicago Sky53c1,445$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.856956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Sky25c1,420$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.210838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Chicago Sky63c1,250$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.4515654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun39c1,082$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.0241145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Chicago Sky55c1,067$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5852552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Chicago Sky23c1,046$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.24568.9%5 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd654…45c2backed Connecticut Sun40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004060%24 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun43c983.01$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.3214060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Sky27c876.26$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7510634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Connecticut Sun49c763.28$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Chicago Sky4c750$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.57050%35 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Sky25c742.41$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9119031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Chicago Sky28c741$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20821446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Connecticut Sun50c687.7$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.856437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Connecticut Sun41c641.56$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5214346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da1…d39cbacked Chicago Sky47c638.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Connecticut Sun40c591$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.612751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Connecticut Sun40c561$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3432049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x978b…34f6backed Chicago Sky21c550$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+217.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Chicago Sky20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1a…d74ebacked Chicago Sky60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002777.8%21 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Chicago Sky53c485.16$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.525642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Sky52c461.1$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6737850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Chicago Sky60c450.47$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.285156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Sky34c439.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6930347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Connecticut Sun38c435.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3912234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Connecticut Sun40c435$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26132743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago Sky18c421.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2118844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Connecticut Sun41c417.44$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.292832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Connecticut Sun75c411.63$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.919139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Connecticut Sun49c387.35$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Sky18c371.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6834753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Chicago Sky50c370.61$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.86969.6%48 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Connecticut Sun38c366$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.922661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Connecticut Sun58c359.37$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.713844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Chicago Sky51c358.37$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.571464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky60c350.93$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked Connecticut Sun80c348$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Chicago Sky60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Connecticut Sun42c320.94$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.881942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Sky4c313$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8924852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Chicago Sky63c301.15$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.224831.3%15 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Chicago Sky34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.511840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Sky38c273.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0731847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago Sky63c273$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.998960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Sky23c260.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6116633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun40c251.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1334448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Connecticut Sun39c241.95$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.457746.8%36 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceca…4800backed Connecticut Sun41c238.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.623762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Chicago Sky25c237.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8628140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago Sky31c230.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5214936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Chicago Sky19c224.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0919646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Chicago Sky19c220.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8141147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Sky51c218.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.517656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Connecticut Sun68c200.47$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.592751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Chicago Sky59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1186544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked Connecticut Sun71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.851090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Chicago Sky63c198.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255969.5%41 W · 18 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Chicago Sky11c190$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12544%11 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Connecticut Sun65c187.19$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.871250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Connecticut Sun47c184$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.124663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Connecticut Sun38c183$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.462466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b8d…44b1backed Chicago Sky12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun40c163.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9514942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Chicago Sky35c161.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Chicago Sky63c158.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Connecticut Sun38c155.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Connecticut Sun40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.817143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.