WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b75b28b6196b96082b553358ffb17dece38ad0a4bbf344d9c49588651c7536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 20c | 1,328$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,184$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.02 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 74c | 852.39$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 846.3$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 657.92$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.57 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 41c | 370.46$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 53c | 225.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 6c | 212.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 208$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 198.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 149$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 71c | 148.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 128.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 109.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 85.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 83.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 69c | 71.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 74c | 69.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 74c | 65.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 25c | 55.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 26c | 54.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 26c | 53.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Over | 27c | 52.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 39c | 49.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 29.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 54c | 29.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…63b4backed Over | 54c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.