WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeef229fea7e8334fd27b1d313baf5e392221c8e1bb7dae30c4641036a9c30375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Chicago Sky, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 12,412$6,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,905.87 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 7,096$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 1,689$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 1,163$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.24 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 735.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 710$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 578.92$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 507.79$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.66 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 497.61$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.85 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 485.8$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 375.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 256.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.7 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 248.72$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 241.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Sun | 62c | 200.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky | 42c | 171$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 155.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 41c | 153.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago Sky | 35c | 139$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 101.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Connecticut Sun | 62c | 86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 56.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 52.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 51.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 49.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 48.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 41.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Connecticut Sun | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…d3c7backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Chicago Sky | 43c | 29.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Chicago Sky | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 23.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Connecticut Sun | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.