WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe39825791eb034977b1681d2518e34ae287b294ab5e6aaacf48e450831f35231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof PortlandFire, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 66c | 44,352$29,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,072.52 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 15,673$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.3 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed PortlandFire | 38c | 15,474$5,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.26 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 30c | 13,547$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.47 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked PortlandFire | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 68c | 8,126$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.15 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky | 71c | 7,408$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.1 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PortlandFire | 36c | 5,383$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.53 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 24c | 3,265$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.17 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 41c | 3,068$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.36 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Sky | 59c | 2,924$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PortlandFire | 37c | 2,384$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.14 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky | 63c | 2,203$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.77 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 1,887$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.74 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked PortlandFire | 12c | 1,800$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed PortlandFire | 6c | 1,706$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 1,643$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.37 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 1,540$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.94 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked PortlandFire | 36c | 1,465$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.29 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Sky | 63c | 1,382$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.38 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire | 38c | 1,330$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.74 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…d3a2backed PortlandFire | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 1,159$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.97 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 32c | 1,064$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.59 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed PortlandFire | 32c | 1,023$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.64 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked PortlandFire | 8c | 1,006$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed PortlandFire | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PortlandFire | 35c | 854.22$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.82 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Sky | 65c | 825.6$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PortlandFire | 30c | 807.03$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed PortlandFire | 24c | 666$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked PortlandFire | 42c | 661.6$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.39 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed PortlandFire | 24c | 621.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 597.33$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed PortlandFire | 29c | 596.02$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed PortlandFire | 42c | 554.01$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed PortlandFire | 48c | 516.54$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed PortlandFire | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed PortlandFire | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked PortlandFire | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked PortlandFire | 41c | 500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 450.71$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.69 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed PortlandFire | 3c | 450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 346$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 326.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 43c | 313.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked PortlandFire | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed PortlandFire | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PortlandFire | 33c | 286.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Chicago Sky | 61c | 272.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 247.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed PortlandFire | 34c | 242$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 231.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PortlandFire | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 229.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 222.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 215.27$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed PortlandFire | 47c | 206.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed PortlandFire | 43c | 200.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed PortlandFire | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire | 40c | 172.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked PortlandFire | 32c | 167.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Chicago Sky | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed PortlandFire | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Chicago Sky | 74c | 153.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 152.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed PortlandFire | 43c | 142.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Sky | 63c | 128$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed PortlandFire | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed PortlandFire | 38c | 124.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked PortlandFire | 38c | 122.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed PortlandFire | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed PortlandFire | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PortlandFire | 31c | 119.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 30c | 115.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed PortlandFire | 30c | 111.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Chicago Sky | 58c | 109.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Chicago Sky | 61c | 108.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed PortlandFire | 37c | 108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Chicago Sky | 65c | 107.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed PortlandFire | 40c | 100.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed PortlandFire | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Chicago Sky | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Chicago Sky | 68c | 99.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed PortlandFire | 34c | 99.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked PortlandFire | 38c | 97.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 67c | 91.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked PortlandFire | 40c | 89.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed PortlandFire | 47c | 87.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 65c | 82.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed PortlandFire | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed PortlandFire | 31c | 81.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 80.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked PortlandFire | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PortlandFire | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 75.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed PortlandFire | 35c | 74.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…f0e0backed PortlandFire | 34c | 74.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Skythis page
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.