WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd400586e777d01bd8e8571e98dfaba27afa8d2627cbeda480522e9e88a2830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 206,667$100,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,412.89 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 150,010$76,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,504.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 38,014$19,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,125.12 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 4,533$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.99 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 3,495$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.7 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 1,544$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.56 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 62c | 1,320$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.76 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 1,013$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.33 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 35c | 1,011$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 774$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.78 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 744.94$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.35 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 739.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 663.07$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 481$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Over | 50c | 429.81$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 51c | 351$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 302$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 53c | 288.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 154$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 44c | 144.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 51c | 116$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +106%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 42c | 110.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Over | 56c | 106.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 98.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 50c | 91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 54c | 75.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 35c | 68.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…03cabacked Under | 16c | 68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 60c | 60.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 59.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 49.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Over | 77c | 38.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 52c | 28.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 69c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.