NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc849164b1f2b6393bb7bfe14e4ea0212af353f70f74bb4b6f07d69723234ec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bucks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,330,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,388,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,330,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,775 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 45c | 376,469$169,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,058.21 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 55c | 199,898$109,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,944.08 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 55c | 128,781$70,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,829.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Bulls | 44c | 102,273$44,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,599.96 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 43c | 89,999$39,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,899.41 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bulls | 44c | 82,661$36,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,170.21 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Bucks | 60c | 82,500$49,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,499.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 41c | 72,551$29,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,167.96 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks | 59c | 66,752$39,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,525.96 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Bulls | 40c | 64,681$25,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,808.82 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Bulls | 42c | 55,097$23,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,004 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Bucks | 57c | 52,922$30,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,337.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 56c | 45,240$25,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,476.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,400 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Bucks | 60c | 30,000$18,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,020 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Bulls | 40c | 29,999$11,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,019.65 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Bucks | 55c | 26,832$14,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,757.77 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bucks | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Bucks | 61c | 24,000$14,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,640 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Bulls | 39c | 24,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,639.94 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 61c | 23,924$14,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,579.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 26c | 23,840$6,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,692.86 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Bucks | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.79 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls | 40c | 19,651$7,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,857.09 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Bucks | 1c | 19,474$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls | 38c | 19,462$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,972.85 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 43c | 18,183$7,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,374.31 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 55c | 17,500$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,624.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bucks | 60c | 17,358$10,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,351.89 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 62c | 17,170$10,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,607.73 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Bucks | 51c | 14,973$7,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,651.49 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bucks | 57c | 13,860$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bulls | 42c | 13,555$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,904.26 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 63c | 12,482$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,868.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Bucks | 58c | 11,900$6,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,902 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Bucks | 56c | 11,773$6,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.46 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Bucks | 56c | 10,772$6,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.69 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Bucks | 57c | 10,215$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.45 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Bucks | 58c | 10,000$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.18 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bulls | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Bucks | 0c | 9,960$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Bucks | 67c | 8,189$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469.3 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…924fbacked Bucks | 57c | 8,001$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e36…5dddbacked Bulls | 40c | 8,000$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.56 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…f689backed Bulls | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Bucks | 56c | 7,856$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.64 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Bucks | 56c | 7,856$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.64 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bulls | 61c | 7,733$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.73 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Bulls | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Bucks | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.98 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…55d3backed Bulls | 43c | 7,065$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Bucks | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Bucks | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls | 41c | 7,000$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.93 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Bucks | 56c | 6,693$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.29 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bulls | 41c | 6,618$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.83 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 59c | 6,538$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…cf8abacked Bulls | 39c | 6,536$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 62c | 6,272$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.29 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Bulls | 43c | 5,773$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.54 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls | 12c | 5,724$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,021.07 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks | 34c | 5,656$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.9 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Bucks | 56c | 5,194$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.64 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Bulls | 39c | 5,099$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.64 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Bulls | 45c | 5,087$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.97 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Bulls | 40c | 5,000$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…aa6cbacked Bulls | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Bucks | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…50cebacked Bucks | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed Bucks | 59c | 4,900$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…1accbacked Bulls | 43c | 4,867$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 58c | 4,733$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bulls | 40c | 4,375$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.87 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Bucks | 61c | 4,370$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe921…5c89backed Bucks | 61c | 4,200$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bucks | 17c | 4,118$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.06 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95d…da6dbacked Bucks | 2c | 4,103$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Bulls | 41c | 4,073$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.26 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bucks | 57c | 4,050$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Bulls | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bulls | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…8977backed Bucks | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…8a2abacked Bucks | 61c | 3,872$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…0801backed Bucks | 58c | 3,783$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…5baebacked Bucks | 58c | 3,761$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bulls | 78c | 3,541$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.02 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Bucks | 57c | 3,505$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.82 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bulls | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.14 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…56c2backed Bucks | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…2d5ebacked Bucks | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…f637backed Bulls | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9440…439bbacked Bulls | 39c | 3,283$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…f34fbacked Bucks | 61c | 3,276$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a9…ef13backed Bucks | 61c | 3,265$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Bullsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.