TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bucks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,330,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,388,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,330,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,775 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls45c376,469$169,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207,058.2187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks55c199,898$109,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,944.081,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks55c128,781$70,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,829.322,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Bulls44c102,273$44,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,599.9636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls43c89,999$39,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,899.4143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bulls44c82,661$36,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,170.2159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Bucks60c82,500$49,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,499.9911955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls41c72,551$29,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,167.962,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks59c66,752$39,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,525.9613142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Bulls40c64,681$25,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,808.8210459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Bulls42c55,097$23,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,00427247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fc…099dbacked Bucks57c52,922$30,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,337.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks56c45,240$25,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,476.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks56c40,000$22,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,40012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Bucks60c30,000$18,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0205444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Bulls40c29,999$11,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,019.658441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Bucks55c26,832$14,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,757.7714663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Bucks61c24,000$14,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,6408052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Bulls39c24,000$9,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,639.946943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks61c23,924$14,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,579.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls26c23,840$6,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,692.861,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Bucks58c20,000$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,599.7934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls40c19,651$7,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,857.0932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bucks1c19,474$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.313179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls38c19,462$7,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,972.851,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls43c18,183$7,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,374.311,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks55c17,500$9,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,624.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Bucks60c17,358$10,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,351.8951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks62c17,170$10,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,607.732,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2504,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks28c15,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Bucks51c14,973$7,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,651.495048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bucks57c13,860$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,90010746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bulls42c13,555$5,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,904.2648956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks63c12,482$7,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,868.223,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Bucks58c11,900$6,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,90222143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Bucks56c11,773$6,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,602.4611458.8%67 W · 47 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Bucks56c10,772$6,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,030.6915643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Bucks57c10,215$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,822.4513959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Bucks58c10,000$5,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.1810641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Bulls40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Bucks0c9,960$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.965032%16 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Bucks67c8,189$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,469.327865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa31…924fbacked Bucks57c8,001$4,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,560.572070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e36…5dddbacked Bulls40c8,000$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.562075%15 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcaff…f689backed Bulls43c8,000$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5602231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Bucks56c7,856$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,438.6426842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Bucks56c7,856$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,438.646841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bulls61c7,733$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.731,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Bulls41c7,500$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4258640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Bucks59c7,500$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,424.989054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76cb…55d3backed Bulls43c7,065$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.964445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Bucks57c7,018$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Bucks60c7,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls41c7,000$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,157.9386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Bucks56c6,693$3,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,765.2914450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bulls41c6,618$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,904.831,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks59c6,538$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,877.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7b…cf8abacked Bulls39c6,536$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,986.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks62c6,272$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,905.292,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Bulls43c5,773$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.543342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls12c5,724$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,021.0746342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks34c5,656$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.91,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Bucks56c5,194$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.6423257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Bulls39c5,099$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.6440350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Bulls45c5,087$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.9721944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bulls40c5,000$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,01625947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c0…aa6cbacked Bulls44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Bucks56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80022140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ca…50cebacked Bucks57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c72…0946backed Bucks59c4,900$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d8…1accbacked Bulls43c4,867$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks58c4,733$2,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bulls40c4,375$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.8724744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Bucks61c4,370$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6668953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe921…5c89backed Bucks61c4,200$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5621553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bucks17c4,118$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0617028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95d…da6dbacked Bucks2c4,103$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bulls41c4,073$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.2665939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks57c4,050$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Bulls41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,36012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Bulls44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb6…8977backed Bucks59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3601643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7c…8a2abacked Bucks61c3,872$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.921250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae9…0801backed Bucks58c3,783$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…5baebacked Bucks58c3,761$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.651330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bulls78c3,541$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.022,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Bucks57c3,505$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.8216146%74 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.3756453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bulls42c3,333$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.1441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks55c3,333$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.1514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20b…56c2backed Bucks61c3,300$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…2d5ebacked Bucks53c3,300$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462a…f637backed Bulls39c3,300$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9440…439bbacked Bulls39c3,283$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.631361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd814…f34fbacked Bucks61c3,276$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a9…ef13backed Bucks61c3,265$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.651241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.