NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19059c7cd7116582018fb8d53757f1f464fee1943ba073b8feb7361c8de83d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bucks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Bulls | 59c | 45,891$26,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,918.06 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks | 47c | 17,021$7,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,931.11 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Bulls | 56c | 10,179$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.57 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Bucks | 41c | 8,987$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.71 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 42c | 6,187$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 54c | 4,929$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 54c | 4,055$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.09 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bulls | 55c | 3,600$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.18 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 41c | 3,546$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 43c | 2,268$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Bucks | 45c | 1,209$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.74 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 51c | 1,036$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Bucks | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Bucks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bulls | 54c | 844.35$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 41c | 595.15$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 44c | 510$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Bulls | 55c | 471$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Bucks | 44c | 456.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 44c | 266.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…4116backed Bulls | 57c | 238.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Bulls | 58c | 236.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Bucks | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b1…aeeabacked Bulls | 55c | 201.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Bulls | 59c | 179.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 45c | 179.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Bulls | 56c | 177.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bucks | 40c | 176.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Bulls | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks | 45c | 157.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 43c | 153.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bucks | 44c | 137.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls | 53c | 132.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Bucks | 52c | 127.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Bulls | 56c | 121.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Bucks | 45c | 118.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 55c | 115.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Bucks | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 56c | 103.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 50c | 102.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Bucks | 44c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Bulls | 56c | 100.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bulls | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Bulls | 56c | 93.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Bucks | 42c | 92.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bucks | 42c | 90.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bulls | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Bucks | 45c | 88.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Bulls | 58c | 85.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Bucks | 43c | 63.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bulls | 56c | 62.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Bulls | 56c | 59.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Bucks | 43c | 58.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bucks | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bulls | 56c | 50.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Bulls | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Bulls | 56c | 44.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 42c | 43.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Bulls | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bulls | 50c | 43.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bucks | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Bulls | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Bucks | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Bucks | 43c | 35.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…831abacked Bulls | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bucks | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Bucks | 41c | 30.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Bulls | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bucks | 43c | 26.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Bulls | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b6…eb83backed Bulls | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…fb0dbacked Bucks | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Bucks | 44c | 23.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Bulls | 56c | 23.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…6e25backed Bulls | 56c | 23.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Bulls | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Bulls | 57c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Bulls | 54c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. BullsBulls won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.