NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf5d49784150a9489c5fbad38f9fab806a15daac5e932bd7a3ed7f00b9f40d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bucks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 54c | 71,784$39,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,738.56 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 54c | 59,743$32,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,477.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Bulls | 56c | 30,357$16,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,450.05 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…c15fbacked Bulls | 54c | 24,457$13,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250.29 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks | 45c | 22,322$10,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,045 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Bucks | 47c | 15,957$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Bucks | 45c | 13,049$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.06 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 47c | 12,358$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Bucks | 45c | 10,000$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bucks | 47c | 8,977$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.09 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 44c | 8,063$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 45c | 7,884$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Bulls | 55c | 6,606$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Bucks | 45c | 5,168$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.63 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Bulls | 54c | 4,802$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.85 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Bucks | 44c | 4,400$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Bucks | 45c | 3,750$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 44c | 3,671$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.42 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Bucks | 45c | 3,620$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bucks | 47c | 3,576$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.7 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 46c | 3,236$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Bulls | 49c | 3,097$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.06 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Bucks | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 53c | 2,500$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.72 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 54c | 2,374$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…5b21backed Bucks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 48c | 1,962$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.89 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Bulls | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 46c | 1,781$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.28 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Bucks | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 54c | 1,171$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.81 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 49c | 1,062$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.17 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks | 46c | 994.1$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Bucks | 53c | 948.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 47c | 882.52$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 47c | 790.73$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Bucks | 45c | 767.91$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.56 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…60a2backed Bulls | 50c | 708$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…4fb2backed Bulls | 50c | 706$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks | 49c | 700.01$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…69d9backed Bucks | 50c | 692$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…7cacbacked Bucks | 50c | 692$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c1…5deabacked Bulls | 50c | 692$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…2219backed Bulls | 50c | 690$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…acdabacked Bucks | 50c | 682$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da1…6572backed Bucks | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…e696backed Bulls | 50c | 670$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…2729backed Bulls | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6258…b4abbacked Bucks | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…4708backed Bucks | 50c | 664$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 47c | 662.79$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4780…97c3backed Bucks | 50c | 662$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…ff5bbacked Bulls | 50c | 662$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…c07dbacked Bucks | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3348…aa33backed Bulls | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3b…c07fbacked Bulls | 50c | 656$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…f7a3backed Bulls | 50c | 654$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…6140backed Bucks | 50c | 652$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…2012backed Bulls | 50c | 652$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…3b28backed Bulls | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…aebabacked Bulls | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…70a2backed Bucks | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…5196backed Bulls | 50c | 648$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2d…7b7abacked Bulls | 50c | 644$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…7aecbacked Bucks | 50c | 638$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…6143backed Bulls | 50c | 636$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…52dabacked Bucks | 50c | 634$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…4f62backed Bulls | 50c | 634$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921e…aca3backed Bulls | 50c | 632$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…c542backed Bucks | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…9930backed Bucks | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…257dbacked Bucks | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…1bcdbacked Bucks | 50c | 628$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166b…9332backed Bucks | 50c | 628$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f51…eb0bbacked Bucks | 50c | 626$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…e36bbacked Bulls | 50c | 626$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…a5d9backed Bulls | 50c | 620$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…b4afbacked Bulls | 50c | 618$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ee…158abacked Bucks | 50c | 616$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…7395backed Bucks | 50c | 614$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…f1aebacked Bulls | 50c | 612$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…6852backed Bulls | 50c | 612$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…30ccbacked Bucks | 50c | 608$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…22e2backed Bucks | 50c | 602$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…e448backed Bucks | 50c | 590$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…c2febacked Bulls | 50c | 588$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…e638backed Bulls | 50c | 584$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…aceebacked Bucks | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…5082backed Bucks | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…be69backed Bulls | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…9c70backed Bucks | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8f8ebacked Bucks | 50c | 578$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd784…4c5fbacked Bulls | 50c | 574$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b4d7backed Bulls | 50c | 570$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…44f0backed Bulls | 50c | 570$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. BullsBulls won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.