TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,048 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c9,793$4,897 inWon+$4,896.671,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c8,098$3,999 inWon+$4,098.832,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Over50c7,226$3,613 inLost-$3,6137552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c7,110$3,555 inLost-$3,5551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over50c5,738$2,869 inLost-$2,868.975547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon+$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over53c1,679$890 inLost-$889.791,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over50c600.12$300 inLost-$30011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1764…cf64backed Over50c500$250 inLost-$2502138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over16c346.33$55 inLost-$55.4116139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c333.19$167 inWon+$166.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c300$150 inWon+$1503,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over49c289.76$142 inLost-$141.9828348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c210.96$107 inWon+$103.993,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Over50c200$100 inLost-$1002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Over50c200$100 inLost-$1007650%38 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c198$99 inLost-$991,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over50c179$90 inLost-$89.554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c162.27$78 inLost-$77.892,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c148.8$76 inWon+$72.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under50c120.37$60 inWon+$60.591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c105.19$52 inLost-$51.541,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under52c100$52 inWon+$4839435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Under54c96.3$52 inWon+$44.315949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon+$46.151,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over50c85.4$43 inLost-$42.726043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c74.95$36 inLost-$35.9791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over49c52.17$26 inLost-$25.511,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over21c50$10 inLost-$10.32449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon+$24.0224042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c44.11$22 inLost-$22.043,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Under52c42.88$22 inWon+$20.581,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe102…67babacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.463669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.