NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x144fc41b935736dd861af6f0346a485531c65abde943c051ae4a50a4202d75b4

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bullsof Bucks, Bulls
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $169,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $170,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,763 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls	51c	100,731$51,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,970.04	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Bucks	48c	52,000$24,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,960	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks	48c	40,000$19,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,200	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Bucks	52c	14,814$7,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,703.28	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59bf…a4c9backed Bucks	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff5…83b1backed Bulls	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	50c	8,679$4,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,340.34	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls	52c	6,837$3,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,281.54	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bulls	52c	5,675$2,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,724	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls	50c	4,732$2,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,366.08	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls	48c	3,019$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,568.09	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Bulls	51c	2,691$1,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.55	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Bucks	48c	2,442$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,172	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bucks	50c	2,008$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.27	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Bucks	48c	1,977$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.28	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Bucks	49c	1,864$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.12	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks	50c	1,605$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.42	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bucks	49c	1,500$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Bucks	49c	1,200$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bucks	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Bucks	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	50c	934.6$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.66	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks	52c	900.01$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks	52c	900$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	48c	818.25$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.77	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Bulls	53c	754$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.38	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks	50c	650.38$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.48	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Bucks	54c	648.15$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Bulls	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls	49c	481.7$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.67	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bulls	49c	469.39$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.39	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls	52c	461.54$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.54	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks	47c	459.37$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.9	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks	53c	406.74$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.31	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls	51c	404$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.96	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Bucks	48c	399.97$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.99	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	49c	310.66$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.63	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Bulls	51c	302.13$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.04	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bucks	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls	48c	299.99$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.39	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Bulls	50c	294$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Bucks	50c	292$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Bucks	52c	266.44$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.55	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-12.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Bucks	50c	240$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Bucks	48c	208$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Bulls	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bucks	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Bucks	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	154	48.7%75 W · 79 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Bulls	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Bucks	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Bucks	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	470	48.5%228 W · 242 L	-18.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Bulls	52c	193$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.64	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Bulls	52c	192.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Bucks	50c	156.9$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Bucks	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Bucks	49c	145$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.05	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Bucks	50c	140$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Bulls	53c	138.2$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.36	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Bucks	52c	130.97$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bulls	53c	122.17$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.8	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Bucks	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Bucks	50c	117.64$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.82	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Bulls	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Bulls	49c	108.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.59	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Bucks	50c	106.95$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.48	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Bulls	52c	106.65$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.69	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Bucks	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	405	41%166 W · 239 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Bucks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Bucks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Bucks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Bulls	52c	94.34$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.28	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Bucks	51c	94.18$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.03	831	58.1%483 W · 348 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…274ebacked Bucks	51c	81.27$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Bucks	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Bulls	45c	79.47$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.7	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bucks	52c	65.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bulls	47c	64.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Bulls	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Bucks	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Bucks	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Bulls	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Bucks	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	182	56.6%103 W · 79 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls	48c	57.79$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.96	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Bucks	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Bulls	51c	51$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.24	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Bucks	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Bucks	47c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Bulls	50c	49.9$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.95	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Bulls	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Bulls	51c	47.3$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.27	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Bucks	50c	46.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.29	201	44.8%90 W · 111 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Bulls	42c	45.86$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks	50c	43.8$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Bucks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	41.3%62 W · 88 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Bucks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bucks (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
Bucks vs. BullsBulls won
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 13.5No won
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bulls won
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bulls won
Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bulls won
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bulls won
Tre Jones: Points O/U 11.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bucks (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event