NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3910d67e9bdcdcd2361f4eafcabdeefebd786cfbdb32d01654593736113ce7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 3,603$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.8 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 62c | 3,543$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,710$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 55c | 1,923$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.27 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 1,337$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 65c | 1,205$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.62 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 897.95$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 849.28$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 38c | 835.86$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 35c | 745.41$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.71 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 55c | 740$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 732.19$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.38 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 54c | 625$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 614$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 587.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.27 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 564.18$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.13 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 62c | 508.65$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.86 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 456.56$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 30c | 369.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.01 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 36c | 318.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 274.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 33c | 224.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 59c | 203.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 192.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 186$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 55c | 182.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd3…74bcbacked Over | 64c | 179.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…072cbacked Over | 61c | 165.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 62.5%105 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 61c | 164.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…ec9dbacked Over | 67c | 149.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 54c | 148.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Over | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…d479backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 15.3%20 W · 111 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 71.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 34c | 68.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 59c | 61.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 40c | 57.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…906bbacked Over | 60c | 41.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 49c | 41.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 61c | 40.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 39.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 36.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 42c | 32.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 32.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 38c | 30.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 64c | 30.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 55c | 23.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 54c | 21.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Under | 48c | 20.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 20.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. BullsBulls won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.