NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f977817a881d7c6264032c34e89179a389c962859374e55fcd24d66cf522364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 9,759$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.6 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.09 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 8,176$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.5 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 8,072$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 6,918$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Over | 48c | 5,478$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 54c | 5,038$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.43 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 3,727$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 3,276$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 53c | 2,725$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Under | 52c | 2,625$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.87 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 2,510$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.25 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,978$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Under | 52c | 1,959$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 49c | 1,809$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.17 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,634$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 51c | 1,464$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.16 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 70c | 1,200$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 1,155$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.71 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Under | 52c | 894.49$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 885.82$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 728.68$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 657.46$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.32 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 611$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.83 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 49c | 518.82$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 485.63$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 393.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 10c | 361.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.29 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 330.16$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 62c | 320.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 53c | 280$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 245.64$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 61c | 221.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8b…b16fbacked Under | 51c | 210.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…225dbacked Over | 50c | 210.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…9c74backed Under | 51c | 209.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…3a39backed Over | 50c | 209.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…72b8backed Over | 50c | 209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…e40ebacked Under | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 199.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 46c | 148.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 130.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 128$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 46c | 126.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 41c | 84.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 81.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 60c | 81.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 105 | 68.6%72 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…d479backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 15.3%20 W · 111 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 62c | 74.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Over | 50c | 72.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…a720backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 54c | 61.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 59.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under | 50c | 45.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 62c | 39.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Over | 56c | 27.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 45c | 25.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 42c | 25.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…f1adbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Over | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 24.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 52c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 53c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. BullsBulls won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.