TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6bf9…f6bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.3%+$136.22
UIC Flames vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$55.77
UIC Flames vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.6%+$50.95
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.88
Austin Peay Governors vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118.99
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$284.6
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+36.8%+$96.34
Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.2%+$71.61
Maine Black Bears vs. Albany Great Danesbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+88.3%+$177.35
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-1.5)backed Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$38.66
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$91.2
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles (W)backed North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+191.9%+$320.92
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Towson Tigers (-7.5)backed Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)backed Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.4%+$9.28
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+93.6%+$28.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+64.8%+$90.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.