Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551c1827d6387f0ad6426202285bedfe8e64103bf02bb373fb4cfb5d419f7845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 21c | 1,200$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,008$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.05 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 884.48$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 824.22$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 54c | 690.74$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 526$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 77c | 288.68$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…8b6cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 50c | 198.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 195.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 79c | 176$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 136$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 79c | 112$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 64.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 53c | 64.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 51.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 39c | 37.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 159.5this page
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern BuccaneersCharleston Southern Buccaneers won
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 160.5Under won
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-17.5)Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.