TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maine Black Bears vs. Albany Great Danes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maine Black Bearsof Maine Black Bears, Albany Great Danes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e3a…3246backed Albany Great Danes6c36,461$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.6714940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Albany Great Danes35c19,047$6,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,720.785,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maine Black Bears71c14,336$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.821,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Maine Black Bears45c13,730$6,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,551.2721636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Maine Black Bears62c6,536$4,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.112,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Albany Great Danes52c3,834$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.5216056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Albany Great Danes70c3,767$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.7944549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Albany Great Danes30c2,266$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.0623149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Albany Great Danes40c2,227$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.5843450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Albany Great Danes70c2,069$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.471,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Maine Black Bears30c1,940$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.941,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Albany Great Danes29c1,857$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.811,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Maine Black Bears55c1,762$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.333,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Maine Black Bears32c1,290$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.2718349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Albany Great Danes44c1,196$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.6939742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maine Black Bears30c1,097$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.9327947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Albany Great Danes68c1,079$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7342,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Maine Black Bears47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53010451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Albany Great Danes39c967.49$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.461,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Albany Great Danes23c872.67$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Maine Black Bears46c791.28$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.513,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Albany Great Danes72c778.89$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5573647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Maine Black Bears32c768.62$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.5592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Albany Great Danes26c764.05$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.654643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Albany Great Danes37c586.95$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.212230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb88…8e33backed Albany Great Danes62c476$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.741338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Maine Black Bears65c463.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.21,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Albany Great Danes30c455.12$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3370936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Albany Great Danes36c418.06$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.722,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Maine Black Bears53c378.24$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.352560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Maine Black Bears32c347.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6925049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Maine Black Bears31c342.75$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.558652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Maine Black Bears69c325.56$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Maine Black Bears31c324.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.047227.8%20 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56be…88febacked Maine Black Bears31c324.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.92326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88af…62b9backed Albany Great Danes36c309.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.782748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Maine Black Bears30c302.93$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Maine Black Bears29c299.71$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.692,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Albany Great Danes69c269.95$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.182,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maine Black Bears28c239.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17355532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Maine Black Bears30c230.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0124737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Maine Black Bears59c228.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.431,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Maine Black Bears32c226.49$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.011,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Albany Great Danes45c221.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1445351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Albany Great Danes10c219.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Maine Black Bears29c199.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x995a…9368backed Albany Great Danes71c198.56$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Maine Black Bears31c198.5$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9738837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Albany Great Danes29c178.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Albany Great Danes28c177.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.655740.4%23 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Maine Black Bears54c174.54$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4418439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Maine Black Bears47c152.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5715240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Maine Black Bears65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1684854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Albany Great Danes63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Maine Black Bears69c143.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.597754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Albany Great Danes71c137.86$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8840755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maine Black Bears75c111.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.821,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Albany Great Danes53c103.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5124951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa325…bc64backed Maine Black Bears29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick50cpaid+56.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c84…57f8backed Maine Black Bears29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c2…d56cbacked Albany Great Danes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf683…310cbacked Albany Great Danes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ad…7727backed Albany Great Danes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Maine Black Bears30c99.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6934947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…4deabacked Maine Black Bears30c99.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7af8…ab47backed Maine Black Bears30c99.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c42…1017backed Maine Black Bears30c99.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc808…1e04backed Albany Great Danes40c96.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad5e…6b43backed Albany Great Danes70c95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a2…7dd5backed Maine Black Bears30c94.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Albany Great Danes38c89.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Albany Great Danes44c83.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Maine Black Bears76c83.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9327055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Maine Black Bears33c82.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.42540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked Maine Black Bears65c76.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.096154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1230…58e9backed Maine Black Bears68c72.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Albany Great Danes70c70.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.13850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Maine Black Bears76c69.11$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.369849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Albany Great Danes39c68.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Maine Black Bears31c65.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Albany Great Danes34c65.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0935852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Albany Great Danes71c61.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.717945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Albany Great Danes31c57.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8736535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Albany Great Danes70c56.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.711855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Albany Great Danes51c54.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6813845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Maine Black Bears50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b13…2c26backed Maine Black Bears51c49.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Maine Black Bears31c49.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.248646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380a…c51abacked Albany Great Danes40c49.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Albany Great Danes51c47.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.962454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Maine Black Bears29c46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7619860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Maine Black Bears59c45.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.733452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Maine Black Bears68c44.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3313560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Albany Great Danes70c42.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9743053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Albany Great Danes39c42.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.272147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Maine Black Bears53c37.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.699747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Albany Great Danes40c34.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9331666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Albany Great Danes37c33.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Albany Great Danes69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.739050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Maine Black Bears60c29.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.