Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c2564d6b905e2aee75b8e8197e96d64fae4be57dba287c0d47a025ec8123f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma State Cowboysof Oklahoma State Cowboys, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 7,917$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 54c | 4,774$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.94 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 3,978$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.09 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 48c | 536.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 51c | 429.41$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 44c | 124.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 46c | 106.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 99.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 82.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 50c | 77.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 74.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 73.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 42c | 51.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 45c | 44.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 57c | 42.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 49c | 42.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…3b04backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 54c | 38.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 26.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 59c | 21.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-1.5)this page
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State Cowboys won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.