NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x178bee198271032eb5ac06ea27b7cf14937885b826639531650679f64fd9c2d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,002,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,196,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,002,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 330,657$112,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,540.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 299,358$99,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,502.09 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Thunder | 66c | 185,000$121,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,179.15 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Thunder | 45c | 121,216$54,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,192.94 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Thunder | 64c | 106,860$68,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,390.41 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Timberwolves | 56c | 94,930$53,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,555.27 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Thunder | 64c | 90,582$57,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,972.22 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 86,758$28,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,195.66 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 69,588$24,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,689.39 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 66c | 50,000$33,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,159.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 66c | 40,704$26,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,887.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Thunder | 67c | 36,869$24,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,702.02 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 31c | 34,587$10,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,780.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 68c | 31,015$21,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,080.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Thunder | 67c | 30,970$20,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,750 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 40c | 28,651$11,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,460.41 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 5c | 28,370$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.14 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 65c | 28,100$18,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,358.02 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 54c | 27,814$15,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,085.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Thunder | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Thunder | 15c | 24,998$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.81 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Timberwolves | 32c | 24,644$7,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,787.92 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…f5bdbacked Thunder | 64c | 24,000$15,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,359.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…bb58backed Thunder | 67c | 23,639$15,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,838.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e6…68bebacked Thunder | 67c | 22,381$14,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,995.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Timberwolves | 34c | 21,713$7,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,390.37 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Timberwolves | 33c | 21,706$7,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,442.14 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Timberwolves | 33c | 21,698$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,537.65 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 8c | 21,327$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.21 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Thunder | 65c | 20,122$13,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,079.02 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Thunder | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Thunder | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.98 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 19,999$13,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.68 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Thunder | 3c | 18,746$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.81 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Timberwolves | 50c | 18,050$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,073.41 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 11c | 18,000$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 26c | 17,196$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.6 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder | 1c | 15,865$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 66c | 15,863$10,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,497.35 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ef…a500backed Thunder | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Thunder | 65c | 14,500$9,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,425 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 67c | 14,422$9,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,612.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 14,084$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,133.38 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 34c | 14,005$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 35c | 13,992$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,163.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Thunder | 67c | 13,433$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 67c | 13,320$8,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Thunder | 67c | 13,073$8,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,758.58 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 66c | 12,577$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,359.84 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…76bdbacked Thunder | 66c | 12,237$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 67c | 12,064$8,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,082.88 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 56c | 11,955$6,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Thunder | 61c | 11,927$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,309.73 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…9530backed Timberwolves | 36c | 11,881$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,603.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 32c | 11,801$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.44 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 30c | 11,688$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.27 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 11,664$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.89 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Thunder | 1c | 11,577$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 67c | 11,200$7,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,503.97 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2c72backed Thunder | 4c | 11,147$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Timberwolves | 32c | 11,110$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,554.77 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 61c | 10,571$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,457.16 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Thunder | 68c | 10,416$7,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,051.14 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Thunder | 16c | 10,300$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Thunder | 20c | 10,212$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.26 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Timberwolves | 33c | 10,000$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,728.52 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Timberwolves | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Thunder | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…1e89backed Thunder | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves | 55c | 9,865$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.88 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 48c | 9,860$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.77 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Timberwolves | 75c | 9,430$7,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.03 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Timberwolves | 35c | 8,785$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.1 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Thunder | 67c | 8,536$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.12 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Timberwolves | 31c | 8,400$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Thunder | 66c | 8,059$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.15 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Timberwolves | 39c | 7,939$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.74 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Timberwolves | 43c | 7,834$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.92 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Thunder | 66c | 7,785$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 7,700$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,159 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Thunder | 67c | 7,700$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.97 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Thunder | 0c | 7,608$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Thunder | 63c | 7,384$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Thunder | 67c | 7,291$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.66 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 37c | 7,033$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.37 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…db22backed Thunder | 29c | 6,650$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.59 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Thunder | 51c | 6,615$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.38 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 67c | 6,420$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.68 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 6,026$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.95 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xface…d8a2backed Thunder | 68c | 5,882$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Thunder | 28c | 5,678$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.83 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 39c | 5,031$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…b959backed Timberwolves | 33c | 4,987$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Thunder | 67c | 4,975$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Thunder | 66c | 4,888$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.1 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…30b7backed Timberwolves | 32c | 4,832$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Thunder | 67c | 4,725$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Thunder | 68c | 4,694$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Thunder | 67c | 4,680$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.88 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 25c | 4,630$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.9 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.