NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbbcf6b6119fa2448cac47a4ce72434647b039dfb8b5de1075dfa564b653c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Thunder | 51c | 51,993$26,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,516.43 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 51,571$25,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,301.31 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 37,848$18,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,317.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Thunder | 51c | 26,109$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 14,445$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.54 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Thunder | 51c | 11,188$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…842ebacked Thunder | 52c | 10,324$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,317 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Timberwolves | 51c | 8,404$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.47 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 46c | 7,688$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541.82 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Thunder | 49c | 7,468$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.68 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 6,599$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 6,336$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…4666backed Thunder | 51c | 5,294$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 54c | 4,053$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.78 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,913$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Thunder | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.93 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Thunder | 50c | 3,241$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.44 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,497$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.81 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 49c | 2,044$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder | 49c | 1,897$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.44 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 50c | 1,817$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.93 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,221$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,135$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 52c | 1,092$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.94 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Thunder | 46c | 1,077$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.37 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Timberwolves | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 693.05$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.81 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 49c | 628.68$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 541.43$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.54 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Thunder | 47c | 469.87$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Thunder | 47c | 354.28$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Timberwolves | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 51c | 319.02$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Thunder | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Timberwolves | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 236.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 51c | 227.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves | 50c | 221$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 219.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Timberwolves | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Timberwolves | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves | 52c | 165$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Timberwolves | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 50c | 129.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…7e7cbacked Thunder | 49c | 122.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 51c | 116.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Thunder | 44c | 115.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 48c | 114.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder | 46c | 109.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 108.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…edacbacked Thunder | 49c | 105.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Thunder | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 100.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Thunder | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 99.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 50c | 98.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 50c | 91.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Timberwolves | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Thunder | 47c | 81.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…3a39backed Timberwolves | 50c | 79.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 49c | 69.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 68.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Thunder | 51c | 67.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Thunder | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba35…92bdbacked Thunder | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 259 | 30.5%79 W · 180 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Timberwolves | 51c | 57.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Timberwolves | 48c | 55.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Timberwolves | 48c | 52.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Thunder | 49c | 50.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Timberwolves | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Thunder | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Thunder | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Timberwolves | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Timberwolves | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 42.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Thunder | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…b2b1backed Thunder | 49c | 37.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 36.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder | 50c | 35.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Timberwolves | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Thunder | 37c | 34.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…a06fbacked Thunder | 47c | 30.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Thunder | 47c | 30.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Thunder vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.