NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822414ff002bb76bff8b05fdf4481cc36bbd3fcbaf97ab2b4e2b7902e9385ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Timberwolves | 54c | 143,617$78,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,449.91 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Thunder | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 46c | 34,247$15,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,628.41 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Thunder | 47c | 13,796$6,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…842ebacked Thunder | 47c | 11,984$5,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 46c | 9,305$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Thunder | 48c | 9,247$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.36 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Thunder | 47c | 6,459$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Thunder | 48c | 5,254$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Thunder | 47c | 4,899$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Thunder | 48c | 4,882$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.4 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…0abbbacked Thunder | 47c | 4,772$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…de14backed Thunder | 47c | 4,398$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.89 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Thunder | 45c | 3,279$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.81 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa341…04a3backed Thunder | 47c | 3,249$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 43c | 2,920$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 2,679$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Thunder | 47c | 2,527$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 47c | 2,329$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.82 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,860$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,501$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,480$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.63 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 47c | 1,460$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 43c | 987.73$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.72 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Thunder | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Thunder | 45c | 759.16$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.31 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 46c | 688.47$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…4138backed Timberwolves | 52c | 649.98$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Timberwolves | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Thunder | 46c | 424.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.27 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…fce0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 376.92$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Timberwolves | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Thunder | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Thunder | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Thunder | 46c | 184.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 47c | 182.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Thunder | 47c | 163.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Thunder | 47c | 152.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Thunder | 48c | 140.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 46c | 123.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0345…56fabacked Thunder | 44c | 114.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Thunder | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Thunder | 47c | 85.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Thunder | 47c | 82.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Thunder | 48c | 81.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 43c | 80.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Thunder | 47c | 69.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Thunder | 47c | 69.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Thunder | 48c | 58.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Timberwolves | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Timberwolves | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Thunder | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Thunder | 46c | 52.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Timberwolves | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Timberwolves | 72c | 48.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 45.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Thunder | 47c | 43.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Thunder | 47c | 42.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Thunder | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Thunder | 41c | 39.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 245 | 66.9%164 W · 81 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6a…e018backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…3da8backed Timberwolves | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…8322backed Timberwolves | 55c | 28.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Thunder vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.