NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff4b63eef5364862d1dda4575a5fdb0ee2f2277d0276ec8b13dfb723f79d638

Rebuilt 52 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $347,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $343,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,523 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	53c	115,782$61,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,170.42	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over	55c	107,362$59,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,312.91	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	46c	58,365$26,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,908.93	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Under	45c	34,000$15,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,300	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	48c	25,562$12,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,210.94	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under	47c	22,170$10,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,419.9	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under	45c	20,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,000	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Under	46c	17,726$8,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,154.07	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over	53c	16,645$8,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,823.25	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	45c	16,228$7,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,338.86	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under	46c	15,666$7,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,206.4	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	46c	14,640$6,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,793.8	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	43c	6,611$2,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,864.38	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	6,027$2,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,811.44	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	46c	5,860$2,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,677.2	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	5,379$2,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,559.03	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	51c	5,349$2,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,620.95	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	46c	5,010$2,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,313.93	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under	47c	4,444$2,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,088.68	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under	45c	3,289$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under	47c	3,019$1,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,418.87	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Under	45c	3,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	42c	1,786$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under	48c	1,783$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.74	143	46.2%66 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Under	52c	1,544$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.36	258	47.3%122 W · 136 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	46c	1,524$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.67	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	49c	1,498$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.05	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under	45c	1,376$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	48c	1,254$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.72	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under	44c	916.6$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.3	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under	49c	894.01$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.77	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Under	49c	891.3$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.77	121	43.8%53 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under	46c	731$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.26	139	37.4%52 W · 87 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	45c	600$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under	45c	505$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.25	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Under	46c	476.52$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.2	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over	56c	470.55$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.04	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under	47c	380.69$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.38	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	45c	375$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.5	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under	47c	317.45$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.2	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	52c	317.25$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.28	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under	53c	299.76$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.88	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under	47c	266.64$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.32	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	21c	256.65$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.13	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x800f…1535backed Under	51c	254.04$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.95	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under	45c	229.72$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.59	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	46c	224$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…cf52backed Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	45c	199.21$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.65	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8e…e61bbacked Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-4.6wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb79b…cf30backed Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under	48c	178.9$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.46	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x394c…a639backed Over	57c	175.79$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.79	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa771…c2c1backed Under	54c	162.96$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-29%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	48c	162.65$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.58	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	48c	158$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	48c	156$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.58	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under	54c	148.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01b…7307backed Under	57c	141.47$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	42c	134.04$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.74	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under	50c	132.24$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.12	432	44%190 W · 242 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	47c	126.38$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.98	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over	54c	125$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.55	410	48.3%198 W · 212 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under	47c	123.4$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	45c	123.35$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	46c	123.32$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.07	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	455	42.4%193 W · 262 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over	50c	109.89$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.95	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	53c	106.62$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.11	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa68e…94b3backed Over	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	258	46.9%121 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over	42c	99.94$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.97	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under	48c	98.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.12	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0345…56fabacked Under	49c	97.47$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.76	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a07…9e1abacked Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	38c	90$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Over	54c	90$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddc4…413dbacked Under	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Under	47c	84.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Over	55c	80.8$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.76	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over	51c	79.42$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.88	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over	51c	79.22$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	126	44.4%56 W · 70 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f6…509bbacked Under	45c	76.89$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	45c	74.04$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2c…7e7cbacked Under	50c	61.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.84	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0250…278ebacked Under	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Under	52c	58.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Under	46c	54.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under	48c	52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Under	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5this page
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Thunder vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event