NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaefa340c9835531a8caa3fd2fa6dce57415f663e4c08201decad847d30599e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 55c | 95,227$52,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,806.37 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 57c | 88,514$50,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,060.94 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Under | 43c | 67,816$29,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,161.08 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 49,936$22,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,086.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 43c | 47,568$20,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,454.27 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 17,945$7,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,961.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 58c | 12,078$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.45 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 43c | 6,685$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.61 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 6,116$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 42c | 5,823$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.52 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 45c | 5,490$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.5 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 4,937$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…31d0backed Under | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Over | 49c | 4,300$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 4,256$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Over | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Over | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…da08backed Under | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…58c9backed Under | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…90e9backed Under | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…c6b7backed Over | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 43c | 4,006$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 43c | 3,662$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 3,075$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.62 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 2,644$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.92 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 2,113$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.01 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 45c | 1,897$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.65 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 55c | 1,891$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.95 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 52c | 1,844$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.98 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 43c | 1,773$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,596$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 45c | 1,380$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.14 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,277$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 1,244$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 986$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.53 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 718.15$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…12c5backed Under | 46c | 694.02$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 46c | 692.66$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 45c | 560$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Under | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 45c | 510$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 423$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…7307backed Over | 76c | 409.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 43c | 320.6$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 315.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 37c | 308.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 43c | 297.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 295.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 290$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 20c | 275.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 65c | 259.89$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 231.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 215$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 45c | 201.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 33c | 199.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 182$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 173.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…1535backed Under | 34c | 165.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 43c | 138.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 114.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…6c0bbacked Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 46c | 108.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 106.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 106.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Over | 57c | 94.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 90.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 53c | 85.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 48c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Under | 46c | 74.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 73.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 69.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 49c | 68.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Under | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…6633backed Under | 23c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Over | 53c | 62.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5this page
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Thunder vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.