Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f13406d877fe4c9d6ca73aceefdcf8ffe6e630d3397b33a95f8f4c6b0aaeb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charleston Cougarsof Charleston Cougars, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $756,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $766,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $756,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Elon Phoenix | 52c | 658,403$342,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342,093.03 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Charleston Cougars | 48c | 250,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,000 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Charleston Cougars | 48c | 163,945$78,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,251.41 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Charleston Cougars | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Charleston Cougars | 49c | 37,771$18,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,451.85 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Elon Phoenix | 50c | 30,235$15,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,217.53 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Charleston Cougars | 49c | 14,579$7,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.42 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 4,058$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Charleston Cougars | 51c | 3,891$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.74 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Charleston Cougars | 49c | 2,989$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.55 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Charleston Cougars | 51c | 2,961$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.68 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Elon Phoenix | 7c | 2,622$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 2,232$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Charleston Cougars | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charleston Cougars | 49c | 965$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 577$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 500.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.75 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 424.21$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.86 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 337.74$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 200.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Elon Phoenix | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Elon Phoenix | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 189.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 169.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 165$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 163.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Elon Phoenix | 7c | 160$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 157.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 112.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 110.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Charleston Cougars | 49c | 101.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…70ebbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Elon Phoenix | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 67.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Charleston Cougars | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 60.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…9ddcbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 56.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Charleston Cougars | 68c | 55.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 52.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 51.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 43.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb075…ac16backed Elon Phoenix | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Charleston Cougars | 50c | 39.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Charleston Cougars | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 34.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Charleston Cougars | 50c | 31.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Charleston Cougars | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)this page
- Elon Phoenix vs. Charleston CougarsCharleston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.