Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. Charleston Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d46a8d977e8eeb7d1152371094f0eb69e4022e7734839c5f6764ff1eec073a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charleston Cougarsof Elon Phoenix, Charleston Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Elon Phoenix | 1c | 4,215$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Elon Phoenix | 38c | 1,209$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.46 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 28c | 638.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Charleston Cougars | 62c | 556$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix | 23c | 418.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Elon Phoenix | 11c | 410.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Elon Phoenix | 37c | 315.13$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Charleston Cougars | 62c | 258$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Elon Phoenix | 5c | 255.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Elon Phoenix | 15c | 233.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charleston Cougars | 63c | 220.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Elon Phoenix | 35c | 208.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charleston Cougars | 65c | 155.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Charleston Cougars | 62c | 128.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Elon Phoenix | 18c | 123.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Charleston Cougars | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Elon Phoenix | 14c | 98.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Charleston Cougars | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Charleston Cougars | 75c | 94.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Charleston Cougars | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Charleston Cougars | 61c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Elon Phoenix | 15c | 84.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Charleston Cougars | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Charleston Cougars | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…f762backed Charleston Cougars | 64c | 31.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. Charleston Cougarsthis page
- Spread: Charleston Cougars (-3.5)Charleston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.