TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c8e…f762

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$10.94
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$14.65
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.06
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.05
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+100.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$19.07
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellisbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.