TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,423,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,423,894 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 728 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed FaZe54c142,105$76,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,736.6222049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN43c136,260$59,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,069.1542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked paiN46c132,000$60,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,28039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FaZe59c126,323$74,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,219.8983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…35b2backed FaZe0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed paiN44c46,036$20,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,947.7272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FaZe33c25,511$8,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,460.244,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FaZe38c24,742$9,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,479.12,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN43c23,778$10,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,553.931,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked FaZe58c23,726$13,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,670.0912449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed paiN42c19,993$8,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,595.9916449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed FaZe21c17,474$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6947439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FaZe44c17,430$7,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,692.2732552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed paiN55c16,675$9,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,570.633852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked paiN72c15,255$11,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.7315760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed paiN43c15,124$6,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,620.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked FaZe0c14,837$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.937865.4%51 W · 27 L+13.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FaZe31c13,127$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.373,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed paiN62c11,211$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.41580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed FaZe57c11,053$6,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,345.543855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed FaZe57c10,660$6,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,060.4910947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked paiN45c10,600$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,829.9422354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked paiN43c10,083$4,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,747.144452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed FaZe58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked FaZe36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60030726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FaZe57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9737946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN66c8,880$5,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.1835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked FaZe57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked FaZe57c8,567$4,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,883.142055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b2…f558backed paiN60c8,530$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FaZe15c8,001$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.891,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed FaZe15c7,920$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.555028%14 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN65c7,515$4,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.833,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FaZe47c7,487$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.095,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FaZe24c7,344$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.5722927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN41c7,338$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.811,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked paiN67c7,285$4,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.578261%50 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2838…e27fbacked paiN43c7,122$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed FaZe40c6,736$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.7846843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed paiN71c6,566$4,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN45c6,455$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.761,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FaZe18c5,999$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.771,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed paiN56c5,900$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6156656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked paiN46c5,899$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.7659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed paiN43c5,000$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.771258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed FaZe57c4,837$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.915141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed FaZe36c4,681$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.143537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed paiN46c4,542$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.8419455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FaZe31c4,500$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ac…a09bbacked FaZe38c4,492$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7071752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FaZe55c4,458$2,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.8142142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked paiN56c4,288$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked FaZe58c4,176$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.785354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed FaZe37c4,055$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked paiN44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.9828538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FaZe26c3,999$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.6488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed FaZe55c3,909$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1507739%30 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed paiN72c3,606$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.7233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked FaZe51c3,599$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8508951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed FaZe58c3,400$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97217240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FaZe33c3,346$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.141,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FaZe38c3,306$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.4547738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed FaZe33c3,219$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed paiN47c3,215$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.7935236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa0…b8a3backed FaZe56c3,109$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FaZe57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked FaZe46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked paiN43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.998654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed FaZe57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9916152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed paiN42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.975848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked paiN40c2,840$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70420539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked paiN42c2,800$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.085855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed FaZe58c2,789$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.6646243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed FaZe36c2,703$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.8961837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked FaZe55c2,660$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.4684454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed FaZe15c2,518$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2114929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked paiN42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed FaZe49c2,468$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.3115249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked FaZe56c2,430$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36123952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed paiN42c2,418$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed paiN42c2,376$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.7910043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed paiN43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.8336554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed paiN43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.586836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed FaZe30c2,320$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.711240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FaZe57c2,281$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.3946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked FaZe57c2,225$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.1912038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad84…1f2bbacked FaZe55c2,210$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked paiN70c2,133$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.643240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed paiN42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16033452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed FaZe57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1408050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed paiN75c1,998$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.571485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed FaZe29c1,908$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.474967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked paiN56c1,856$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.594452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed FaZe54c1,727$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.493246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f9…7478backed FaZe58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a6…5270backed paiN42c1,700$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9862634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN40c1,645$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.841,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked FaZe49c1,643$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.75455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked paiN43c1,628$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.911855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FaZe37c1,595$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.921,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.