CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc7d5732e56cc59f7f9c5001eaa46aa20d658eba878d8408d565297584dd72e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,729 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9a2…7945backed Over | 46c | 5,030$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…975cbacked Under | 54c | 5,030$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 43c | 3,842$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.67 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 55c | 2,621$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.91 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 42c | 2,095$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.06 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 54c | 1,947$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.24 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Over | 40c | 628.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.21 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 45c | 506.87$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 49c | 471.37$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 58c | 226.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 201.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 54c | 178.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…d1e7backed Over | 54c | 129.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 35c | 121.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 100.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 88.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 26c | 67.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 53c | 59.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Over | 20c | 57.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 34c | 55.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 47c | 52.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 44c | 52.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 40c | 44.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 48c | 40.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 39c | 37.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Over | 43c | 33.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…d6bebacked Under | 41c | 33.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 51c | 32.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 47c | 30.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Under | 47c | 30.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Under | 47c | 30.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 51c | 28.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1c68backed Over | 47c | 21.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2paiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.