MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8b0081ad6368c2ef70335e95ce9821e6296cb822a5c79bce29f740ad6429d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $577,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 32,130$16,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,257.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 28,351$17,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,789.47 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 23,572$11,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,785.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 22,630$7,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,072.94 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 21,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 17,330$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.09 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 16,500$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 16,483$9,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,395.13 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 15,098$7,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.48 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 14,634$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,317 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 11,964$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,981.94 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 9,907$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.36 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 9,043$6,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.85 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 8,929$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.21 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 7,862$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.22 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 7,351$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.46 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 7,009$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 6,763$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.56 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 6,533$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.66 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 6,259$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.35 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 5,999$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.1 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 5,147$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.95 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 4,961$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.91 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 4,302$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.79 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,901$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.67 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 3,854$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.27 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,336$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.62 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 3,198$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.92 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 3,025$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 3,007$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.11 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 2,866$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,653$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.13 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,476$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,067$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.31 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,787$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.58 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…df96backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 1,777$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,652$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.07 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,594$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.5 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,506$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.92 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,500$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,491$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.53 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…c130backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 1,489$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.48 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,366$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.91 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,258$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.44 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,213$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.5 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 1,167$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.03 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,092$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.97 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,070$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.93 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,060$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.18 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…b0ecbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,021$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 999.95$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.05 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Washington Nationals | 8c | 983.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 982.68$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.34 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 969.99$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.65 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 921.79$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 850.64$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.06 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…47f6backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 846.24$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 832.39$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 794.42$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.81 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 777$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 735.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 726.89$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.73 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 693.6$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 679.38$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.22 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 580.69$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.84 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 571.16$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 562.03$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 548.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 522.9$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 513.44$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 504.75$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 500.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 466.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 462.75$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 459.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 441.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 428.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 406$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Washington Nationals | 27c | 396.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.