MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2945892de50b181c5f1b3e602a94977d3bd3dc520f4cf66dda1d167eb69ad46a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 36,688$19,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,100.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 49c | 23,644$11,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,585.72 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 15,500$7,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,348.29 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 48c | 10,491$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 10,086$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,828.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 6,397$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 53c | 6,133$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.35 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 3,381$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…4e19backed Under | 52c | 3,160$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 53c | 2,976$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.84 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 2,333$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,800$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Over | 47c | 1,465$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 1,293$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 47c | 1,152$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.3 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 9c | 1,107$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.92 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 53c | 1,045$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.16 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 998.93$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 983.95$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.38 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 854.33$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 788.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 689.53$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.36 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 49c | 398.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 46c | 363.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 68c | 297.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 50c | 288.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 50c | 248.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Over | 49c | 243.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 208.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 51c | 199$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 53c | 183.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 172$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 169.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 50c | 161.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 47c | 117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 42c | 107.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c3…0472backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 84.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…c130backed Over | 20c | 75.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 45c | 72.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 60c | 66.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 47c | 59.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Over | 49c | 57.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 57c | 56.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…0a18backed Over | 48c | 51.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 47c | 50.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 47c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 62c | 48.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 45.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…9e4fbacked Over | 42c | 34.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 47c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 46c | 32.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 47c | 29.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 64c | 26.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…5778backed Over | 50c | 26.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…0e7fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…18d2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington NationalsMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.