Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
American Eagles vs. Holy Cross Crusaders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad816049cdb835bea987043a772d07298d1b7d60baa05659f2e791ef2005d2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- American Eaglesof American Eagles, Holy Cross Crusaders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 6c | 1,579$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked American Eagles | 72c | 1,526$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 8c | 1,177$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 29c | 907$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 7c | 772.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 31c | 642.49$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 43c | 580.16$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 40c | 501.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 40c | 499.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 2c | 445.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 7c | 425.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed American Eagles | 65c | 420$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed American Eagles | 57c | 375$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 4c | 338.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 47c | 332.93$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 11c | 271.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed American Eagles | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 40c | 184.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed American Eagles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed American Eagles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked American Eagles | 65c | 150.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 10c | 127.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed American Eagles | 60c | 125.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked American Eagles | 55c | 109.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked American Eagles | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 41c | 99.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed American Eagles | 60c | 85.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed American Eagles | 60c | 56.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 42c | 49.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 31c | 44.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 34c | 40.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 37c | 34.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked American Eagles | 58c | 34.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed American Eagles | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed American Eagles | 54c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…f762backed American Eagles | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed American Eagles | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- American Eagles vs. Holy Cross Crusadersthis page
- Spread: American Eagles (-3.5)American Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.