Tennis · resolved market
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuoka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6797bed9fa8d02434016f1c81026ea3cbc29b2d994ad5787c3aa2897eeffae51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hayato Matsuokaof Aziz Dougaz, Hayato Matsuoka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aziz Dougaz | 30c | 55,750$16,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,554.91 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Aziz Dougaz | 41c | 19,433$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Aziz Dougaz | 50c | 17,709$8,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,813.28 | 485 | 55.9%271 W · 214 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…8528backed Hayato Matsuoka | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Hayato Matsuoka | 45c | 12,088$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.64 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Aziz Dougaz | 31c | 11,937$3,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.93 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…0939backed Hayato Matsuoka | 57c | 8,860$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 7,984$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.74 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Hayato Matsuoka | 47c | 7,863$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.72 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 6,609$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.95 | 411 | 31.9%131 W · 280 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Aziz Dougaz | 32c | 5,837$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.55 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +21.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hayato Matsuoka | 54c | 5,054$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.78 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Aziz Dougaz | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hayato Matsuoka | 52c | 4,107$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.8 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Aziz Dougaz | 57c | 4,000$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.52 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Aziz Dougaz | 20c | 3,859$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 49c | 3,807$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.8 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 40c | 3,757$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.38 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 3,275$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 67c | 2,962$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.19 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Hayato Matsuoka | 57c | 2,920$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.84 | 155 | 65.2%101 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Aziz Dougaz | 22c | 2,753$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.68 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 69c | 2,671$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.5 | 299 | 53.5%160 W · 139 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 2,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.67 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Aziz Dougaz | 46c | 2,616$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.23 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 70c | 2,520$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Hayato Matsuoka | 70c | 2,401$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Aziz Dougaz | 48c | 2,307$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 2,250$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Aziz Dougaz | 52c | 2,245$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.23 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Aziz Dougaz | 44c | 2,081$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.31 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 42c | 2,060$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.34 | 513 | 44.4%228 W · 285 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Aziz Dougaz | 45c | 2,031$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.47 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 2,000$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.4 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Aziz Dougaz | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 389 | 35.7%139 W · 250 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aziz Dougaz | 46c | 1,905$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.32 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Aziz Dougaz | 42c | 1,627$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.41 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Aziz Dougaz | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Hayato Matsuoka | 69c | 1,435$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.78 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 1,411$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.21 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Aziz Dougaz | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 69.6%71 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Aziz Dougaz | 40c | 1,311$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.74 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…a69abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 67c | 1,260$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.02 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aziz Dougaz | 59c | 1,260$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.68 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 1,258$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.16 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 54c | 1,236$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.26 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Hayato Matsuoka | 66c | 1,219$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.76 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 1,172$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.63 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Aziz Dougaz | 42c | 1,163$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.25 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aziz Dougaz | 51c | 1,088$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.11 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Hayato Matsuoka | 63c | 1,062$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.96 | 360 | 64.4%232 W · 128 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 1,021$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.61 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Aziz Dougaz | 39c | 1,008$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.96 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Aziz Dougaz | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed Hayato Matsuoka | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Aziz Dougaz | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…0e12backed Hayato Matsuoka | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…c617backed Aziz Dougaz | 39c | 993.51$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hayato Matsuoka | 63c | 909.89$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…bf89backed Hayato Matsuoka | 67c | 900.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Aziz Dougaz | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Aziz Dougaz | 60c | 845.75$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.94 | 595 | 53.8%320 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Hayato Matsuoka | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Aziz Dougaz | 36c | 728.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 482 | 31.1%150 W · 332 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Aziz Dougaz | 41c | 725.75$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Aziz Dougaz | 45c | 711.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 713 | 29.7%212 W · 501 L | -39.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aziz Dougaz | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Hayato Matsuoka | 37c | 700$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Aziz Dougaz | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Hayato Matsuoka | 79c | 670.64$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Aziz Dougaz | 46c | 656.43$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hayato Matsuoka | 41c | 631.3$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.5 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aziz Dougaz | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Hayato Matsuoka | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 72c | 557.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hayato Matsuoka | 59c | 551.72$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Aziz Dougaz | 38c | 550$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Hayato Matsuoka | 54c | 545.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 543.92$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.53 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Aziz Dougaz | 40c | 528.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 664 | 44.6%296 W · 368 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Aziz Dougaz | 11c | 520$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…459fbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 58c | 515.19$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 62c | 511.47$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb98…2b49backed Aziz Dougaz | 40c | 485.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 471.66$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 243 | 37%90 W · 153 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 61c | 459.01$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 58c | 450.11$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.46 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Aziz Dougaz | 43c | 449.46$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 422.29$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.22 | 327 | 54.4%178 W · 149 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 405.65$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 415 | 54.7%227 W · 188 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 63c | 403.36$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Aziz Dougaz | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Aziz Dougaz | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Hayato Matsuoka | 53c | 395.59$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aziz Dougaz | 41c | 389.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 388.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 478 | 58.4%279 W · 199 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Aziz Dougaz | 42c | 383.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 60c | 383.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokathis page
- Astana: Completed Match: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato MatsuokaYes won
- Set Handicap: Matsuoka (-1.5) vs Dougaz (+1.5)Dougaz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.