Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hofstra Pride vs. William & Mary Tribe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20680828230e35f1fdb6dbf20a6ef7654d56d59c12cd7212889ca3af1bb20d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Mary Tribeof Hofstra Pride, William & Mary Tribe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3044…54b2backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hofstra Pride | 51c | 1,289$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.78 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hofstra Pride | 40c | 974.09$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.63 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 627.92$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…cbc0backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…e7c0backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed William & Mary Tribe | 79c | 564.21$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Hofstra Pride | 39c | 531.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…27d0backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed William & Mary Tribe | 47c | 487$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 387$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 368.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hofstra Pride | 33c | 282.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 271.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 213.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 179.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…fababacked William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 154.35$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 154$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hofstra Pride | 48c | 150.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 136.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed William & Mary Tribe | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 96.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Hofstra Pride | 41c | 87.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 80.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Hofstra Pride | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hofstra Pride | 14c | 73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed William & Mary Tribe | 63c | 71.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Hofstra Pride | 41c | 66.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 56.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hofstra Pride | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Hofstra Pride | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed William & Mary Tribe | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hofstra Pride | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Hofstra Pride | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Hofstra Pride | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Hofstra Pride | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 35.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…f762backed William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Hofstra Pride | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed William & Mary Tribe | 45c | 29.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed William & Mary Tribe | 47c | 24.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Hofstra Pride | 47c | 24.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hofstra Pride | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hofstra Pride | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 19.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 16.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hofstra Pride vs. William & Mary Tribethis page
- Hofstra Pride vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 159.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-2.5)William & Mary Tribe won
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-3.5)William & Mary Tribe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.