Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051e0ea5b3c394114eacf8ce5e944ca63cbb6ccdef1d086cadc5dd129a3804e6

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,280,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,357,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,280,618 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,683 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd66e…051fbacked No	33c	2,795,533$915,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915,989.28	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	75c	754,203$564,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189,863.88	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No	31c	749,992$234,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234,997.45	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	23c	720,725$168,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168,402.12	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Yes	70c	686,083$480,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205,825.05	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	34c	577,995$194,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194,319.22	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No	31c	483,026$151,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151,238.07	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	68c	416,703$284,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132,042.13	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed No	31c	400,000$124,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124,000	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	30c	306,649$91,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91,994.61	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	72c	302,004$218,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83,420.21	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed Yes	69c	263,207$181,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,594.31	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.18per pick	60cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	64c	261,050$165,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95,255.17	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes	67c	246,515$165,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,349.93	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes	68c	241,176$164,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77,176.47	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0e…a019backed Yes	69c	239,428$165,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,222.64	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed No	33c	202,975$66,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,981.65	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	67c	200,000$133,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,500	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No	33c	200,000$66,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,000	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	45cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No	33c	178,941$59,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,050.69	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	68c	170,210$115,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,498.17	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	35c	168,047$58,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,697.64	168	35.1%59 W · 109 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No	31c	156,445$48,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,892.79	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf731…e013backed Yes	64c	153,870$98,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,393.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	26c	139,974$36,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,442.97	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes	74c	134,616$99,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,943.94	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No	37c	133,003$49,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,627.66	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes	67c	131,842$88,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,689.35	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	36c	122,316$43,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,528.27	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	68c	111,946$76,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,595.73	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes	67c	105,841$71,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,627.78	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	30c	105,726$31,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,797.58	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes	66c	105,000$69,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,700	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	22c	101,857$22,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,567.8	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No	31c	100,000$31,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,999.91	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed No	15c	100,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,999.94	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	68c	98,822$67,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,363.37	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No	37c	94,865$35,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,100.05	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	16c	89,519$14,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,431.19	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes	80c	87,853$70,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,647.94	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9eb…6a67backed Yes	71c	86,000$60,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,024.65	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+81.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73b7…e4e7backed Yes	68c	83,762$56,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,803.88	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No	9c	78,868$7,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,308.8	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	35c	78,215$27,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,185.47	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	66c	75,463$49,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,827.16	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes	67c	72,771$48,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,014.43	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes	65c	67,837$44,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,742.92	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+9.3wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes	78c	62,132$48,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,965.71	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes	68c	60,000$40,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,200	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Yes	68c	58,430$39,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,697.61	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes	69c	55,000$37,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,050	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No	31c	54,665$16,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,946.14	135	33.3%45 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No	36c	52,261$18,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,810.03	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes	69c	50,000$34,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,500	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes	69c	50,000$34,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,500	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed No	32c	49,999$16,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,999.72	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	26c	48,282$12,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,675.62	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec4c…fb48backed No	33c	47,949$15,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,688.23	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No	33c	46,399$15,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,311.61	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No	31c	45,000$13,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,949.98	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	30c	44,122$13,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,455.6	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No	35c	42,344$15,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,018.93	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+15.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	32c	39,417$12,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,482.16	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f63…e539backed Yes	68c	38,224$25,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,326.38	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No	32c	36,122$11,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,442.77	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	68c	35,922$24,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,602.41	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No	33c	35,000$11,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,549.83	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes	68c	33,824$23,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,823.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked No	3c	33,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes	68c	32,353$22,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,352.94	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No	33c	31,550$10,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,411.47	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No	32c	31,099$9,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,951.71	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	67c	30,000$19,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,050	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes	66c	30,000$19,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes	68c	30,000$20,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,600	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Yes	66c	30,000$19,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked No	30c	30,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,999.9	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Yes	69c	29,614$20,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,180.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f7…3a2fbacked Yes	68c	29,594$20,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,469.97	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Yes	70c	29,132$20,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,739.57	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	8c	28,671$2,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,248.61	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No	24c	26,910$6,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,385.99	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	3c	25,751$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.55	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No	33c	25,629$8,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,548.99	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed No	34c	25,000$8,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,499.99	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No	37c	25,000$9,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,249.83	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No	14c	24,325$3,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,408.47	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	33c	23,715$7,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,709.8	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef1…8d6dbacked Yes	68c	23,529$16,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,529.41	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Yes	77c	21,824$16,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,923.71	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	33c	21,677$7,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,120.89	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e17…d3d8backed Yes	70c	21,429$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,428.57	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No	31c	21,363$6,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,642.74	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No	30c	21,150$6,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,344.86	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed No	0c	21,113$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.94	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	69c	21,000$14,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,510	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4362…9e47backed No	0c	20,830$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes	67c	20,428$13,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,792.39	158	43%68 W · 90 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No	31c	20,300$6,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,293	86	31.4%27 W · 59 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No	31c	20,000$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,200	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?this page
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?No won
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event