TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,276,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,186,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,276,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd66e…051fbacked Yes22c1,841,709$400,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400,000.0180%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No79c765,214$603,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,295.2174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Yes22c400,935$88,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,205.72774.1%20 W · 7 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+98.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No77c381,393$293,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,720.3833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No80c359,372$287,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,169.482,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No79c311,334$245,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,380.1415456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Yes21c175,310$36,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,815.151656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No78c130,423$101,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,693.046546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No78c127,742$99,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,962.1129952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes22c119,439$26,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,276.673933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c118,592$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,999.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No79c108,900$86,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,8694858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No79c101,671$79,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,730.622,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde29…89b1backed Yes22c100,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.961915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No79c64,807$51,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,508.121,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No78c60,000$46,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2009345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4d…8b35backed Yes14c59,177$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1003250%16 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No78c46,000$35,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1208440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No78c45,646$35,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,042.156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes22c40,083$8,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,766.931,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No79c35,183$27,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,420.517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes23c30,435$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0003125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No79c26,000$20,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5901,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c23,871$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.561468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c20,952$16,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,609.4276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No78c20,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4007050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c19,000$3,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.011,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No78c18,400$14,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0485244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked No77c17,867$13,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,109.411770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No80c17,826$14,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,565.238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes12c14,699$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.4711133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c14,000$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes2c13,333$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Yes0c10,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Yes21c10,476$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2009653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c10,194$7,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.6255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20024344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe102…f569backed Yes22c10,000$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2102114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20013331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes3c10,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes2c9,167$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22529030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes2c8,667$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21127236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked No78c8,333$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.338952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No78c8,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes21c8,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68017235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c7,817$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No77c7,558$5,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.4647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No78c7,314$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.84075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed Yes21c6,158$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.0323747.3%112 W · 125 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes2c6,033$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1339933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No78c6,015$4,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.9365651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No79c6,000$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No79c5,723$4,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.835851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked No78c5,720$4,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.9113857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes7c5,630$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4729333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes4c5,071$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed No78c5,063$3,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.7916953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8df…656bbacked Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.961421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…cfd7backed Yes22c4,840$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.842231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…3f1cbacked Yes22c4,670$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.424939%97 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No78c4,400$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9806…0367backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes9c4,264$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No78c4,149$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.821,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes13c3,887$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No77c3,788$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.2218850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes3c3,458$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.755219.2%10 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No78c3,200$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70437850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Yes9c3,071$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.6318929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No78c3,026$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.0324441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9823255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes4c2,867$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5645039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No78c2,800$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61638351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5c01backed No77c2,734$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.733275%24 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No78c2,686$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.8824950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b58…eba2backed Yes23c2,679$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.259934.3%34 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No79c2,657$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9725848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked No78c2,565$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.313554.8%74 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes22c2,493$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.5858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No78c2,400$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes5c2,394$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2545528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No79c2,381$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0117569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.993246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No78c2,249$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.231,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes21c2,143$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9947235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes3c2,139$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1719124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No78c2,100$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes3c2,067$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9322933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604560%27 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes23c2,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed No78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Yes20c1,960$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3927337%27 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.