TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$798,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$812,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c623,049$326,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326,894.3335945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c299,266$143,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,618.49860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under47c150,000$70,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,50069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c72,795$33,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,673.381,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over55c70,760$38,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,918.3189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under47c66,444$31,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,215.4721754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c30,095$14,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,651.661,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,90090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9503756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under46c12,289$5,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,613.2535452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c7,622$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,117.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under46c5,300$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.8521262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7008946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e7…84dfbacked Over53c4,284$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.761540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+79.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under46c1,875$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.3110739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under46c1,738$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.316954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c1,683$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.814,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under18c1,534$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.182,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Under46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6484055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over51c1,039$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.124339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Under46c913.09$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.074858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over54c800.95$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2318844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under44c711.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.3449746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd312…9c31backed Under46c692.91$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under47c603$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.591,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over54c600.69$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.3742339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over2c545.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27038645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c483.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under49c389.31$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.369543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under49c367.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c346.41$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.983,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1557957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under49c297.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.545959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c271.8$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.935,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2250546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Under45c221.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.031163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3921443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Over55c215$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.674553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under47c211.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.213444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under34c208.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe174…f74bbacked Under45c149.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over55c137.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.436556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Over77c130.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under46c121.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1621059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over52c116.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.584,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c116.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5821347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d62…0a41backed Under63c112.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under46c106$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.244266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under47c102.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2812341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5315156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed9…c127backed Under47c97.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under46c92.62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6597447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d72…faf7backed Over57c86.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89a…6391backed Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.344955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.26450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under49c75.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6811159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.54868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under49c71.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3119653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.74257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c41…b95fbacked Over54c67.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6717661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over54c66.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9810049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under50c66.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.238750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.832766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c63.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3919657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under70c57.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.447661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb16…6b4fbacked Under45c52.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.071145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under47c52.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under49c50.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7218656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under49c49.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.417251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over54c45.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.555950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.448452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…d05dbacked Under45c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Over50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cab…7489backed Under47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8678052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked Under53c37.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Under47c34.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over35c31.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.024535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x62fb…cc89backed Over55c29.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under44c28.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.234660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbc9…63d3backed Under47c28.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.