TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wright State Raidersof Wright State Raiders, Northern Kentucky Norse
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$774,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$779,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Northern Kentucky Norse54c608,412$325,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325,534.8735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wright State Raiders46c300,000$138,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wright State Raiders47c250,000$117,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,500.019860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Wright State Raiders49c100,326$48,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,420.0189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse51c25,000$12,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,849.9890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse50c12,796$6,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,384.635,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse52c8,971$4,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,663.4312754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Northern Kentucky Norse51c7,900$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0298946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Wright State Raiders46c7,777$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.5813154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Wright State Raiders48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Northern Kentucky Norse50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5005160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Wright State Raiders48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Wright State Raiders50c3,374$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.6114654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse49c3,161$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.6112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Northern Kentucky Norse50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Northern Kentucky Norse51c1,976$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00818650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Wright State Raiders52c1,932$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.3918548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Wright State Raiders46c1,883$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.0730249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00057248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse50c1,235$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.394,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Northern Kentucky Norse50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Wright State Raiders51c980.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.5355749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse52c846$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.921,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Wright State Raiders50c834.85$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.855959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Wright State Raiders50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30015447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Wright State Raiders51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.056848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse49c424$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Wright State Raiders51c392.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.313158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Wright State Raiders48c372.5$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.710049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Wright State Raiders48c356.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6311159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Wright State Raiders48c337.5$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Wright State Raiders48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1567957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Wright State Raiders48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.848750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Wright State Raiders48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15611946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Wright State Raiders49c216.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.756159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Wright State Raiders48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3319657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Wright State Raiders48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Wright State Raiders50c200.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.185154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Northern Kentucky Norse52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Wright State Raiders48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6385…aecfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse53c134.52$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Kentucky Norse51c131.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.84,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Wright State Raiders48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Wright State Raiders48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Northern Kentucky Norse49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Wright State Raiders50c121.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.614,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Wright State Raiders47c113.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2621262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Wright State Raiders48c111.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.013161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Wright State Raiders48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1750546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Wright State Raiders48c103.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8918656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Wright State Raiders48c102.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.44951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Wright State Raiders48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5262753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Northern Kentucky Norse52c96.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9518844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Wright State Raiders48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.336450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Wright State Raiders48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.336755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Wright State Raiders49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.84868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Northern Kentucky Norse51c70.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.215947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Northern Kentucky Norse51c65.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4435050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Wright State Raiders48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.528354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Wright State Raiders48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Northern Kentucky Norse53c58.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0419653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f8…5bf4backed Wright State Raiders48c53.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1912…def8backed Wright State Raiders49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Wright State Raiders47c44.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Wright State Raiders48c43.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8411858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Wright State Raiders48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee53…7d97backed Wright State Raiders50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Wright State Raiders50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Wright State Raiders50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Wright State Raiders50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Wright State Raiders47c34.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.485549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Wright State Raiders48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebab…9ddcbacked Wright State Raiders48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Wright State Raiders47c29.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4512054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Wright State Raiders48c28.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9512560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46bb…6d65backed Wright State Raiders48c27.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.531850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Northern Kentucky Norse54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3331666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Northern Kentucky Norse50c24.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2997447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Northern Kentucky Norse52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.397252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Wright State Raiders52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5216952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b9…5822backed Wright State Raiders50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.