Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022a88cc63e090edcd46a56a9b38b76818b5720901744f311b39a80b67f839d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Northern Kentucky Norse, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 0c | 4,335$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 3c | 3,979$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 5c | 1,584$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wright State Raiders | 57c | 1,250$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 37c | 889.13$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 778.76$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.08 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 28c | 716.17$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.63 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wright State Raiders | 58c | 531$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.02 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 16c | 509.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 339.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Wright State Raiders | 58c | 317.19$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 36c | 285.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Wright State Raiders | 61c | 260.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 221.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 211.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Wright State Raiders | 77c | 184.32$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wright State Raiders | 55c | 120.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 117.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Wright State Raiders | 72c | 106$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 104.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wright State Raiders | 57c | 104.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Wright State Raiders | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wright State Raiders | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wright State Raiders | 73c | 79.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wright State Raiders | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 38c | 71.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 62.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Wright State Raiders | 55c | 54.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Wright State Raiders | 56c | 51.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Wright State Raiders | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Wright State Raiders | 57c | 42.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Wright State Raiders | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Wright State Raiders | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Wright State Raiders | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wright State Raiders | 57c | 28.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…3fcbbacked Wright State Raiders | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Wright State Raiders | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 26.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Wright State Raiders | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raidersthis page
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-2.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-3.5)Wright State Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.