TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Tundra Esports, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$727,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$827,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x28f7…400cbacked Tundra Esports1c158,157$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.721533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Team Liquid30c66,293$19,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,408.16933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid55c35,308$19,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,790.2855157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Tundra Esports70c27,239$19,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,067.053339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid54c26,261$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,160.654556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Tundra Esports43c24,269$10,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,435.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee5…71b7backed Team Liquid61c18,560$11,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,170.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports49c16,941$8,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,31453451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports70c15,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50022848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Tundra Esports54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Tundra Esports46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,899.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Tundra Esports48c11,175$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,320.98242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports47c10,646$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.4732854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Team Liquid56c10,370$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,570.382751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Tundra Esports30c9,035$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Tundra Esports46c8,017$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.567143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports68c7,654$5,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,182.1755751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports28c6,862$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.6166662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Liquid53c6,362$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.5113045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports45c6,213$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.172,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Team Liquid53c6,100$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid53c6,059$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.527645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports33c5,302$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.8110741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports46c5,202$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.8433850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid39c5,151$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,151.265964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports26c5,090$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30033041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Tundra Esports68c4,865$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,298.112231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid62c4,581$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.8362650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports46c4,506$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.4586949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tundra Esports46c4,363$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.9619148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Team Liquid53c4,355$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.26647%31 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Tundra Esports47c4,256$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.4216050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.999557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Tundra Esports48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.964245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports38c3,993$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.041,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid45c3,903$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.5930138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b5a…b691backed Team Liquid64c3,496$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Tundra Esports48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44015544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports46c3,000$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Tundra Esports48c3,000$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.7819742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Tundra Esports25c2,888$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7223336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports34c2,721$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.5788166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa394…89e9backed Tundra Esports40c2,658$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid51c2,486$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.449959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports39c2,467$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.682,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid73c2,184$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.941655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Tundra Esports70c2,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Team Liquid56c2,045$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.371770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Team Liquid78c2,025$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4419664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Team Liquid52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96011839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Team Liquid50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid79c1,979$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.735758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8288957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid56c1,784$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.6512948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Team Liquid57c1,748$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.98164.2%52 W · 29 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Tundra Esports47c1,746$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.881936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid71c1,734$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.814443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Liquid52c1,701$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.645839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports46c1,652$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.4660349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Tundra Esports48c1,619$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77725549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports46c1,608$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.8260542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid54c1,570$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.441,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Tundra Esports34c1,570$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.792669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Team Liquid55c1,556$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Tundra Esports70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05028650%143 W · 143 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid40c1,480$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.9915345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports55c1,412$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.038060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports59c1,395$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.7713455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Team Liquid54c1,363$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9817146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Tundra Esports15c1,343$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Team Liquid56c1,252$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.251942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Tundra Esports68c1,234$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.447357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid74c1,220$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.682259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Tundra Esports45c1,211$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54510141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports57c1,196$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.5818661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Tundra Esports65c1,155$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.566243.5%27 W · 35 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Tundra Esports44c1,150$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Tundra Esports46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.998253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Tundra Esports46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0122727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefae…5cd1backed Team Liquid56c1,046$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.131560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Tundra Esports45c1,040$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.056650%33 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Team Liquid52c1,036$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.35853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67020642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports45c999.96$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9880443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Team Liquid52c982$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.362962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports45c971.14$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.0164744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Team Liquid52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.547941.8%33 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245e…3cedbacked Team Liquid54c954.8$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.212441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Liquid53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.423746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Tundra Esports42c926.87$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.534141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid54c926.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.2821346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Liquid52c924$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.917247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Team Liquid53c915$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.054245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39634544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid70c900$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27326661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Tundra Esports68c899.49$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.149257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked Team Liquid53c899.44$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.293351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Tundra Esports50c888.33$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4817852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…5e7abacked Team Liquid34c876.93$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.021833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Team Liquid52c859$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.235549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.