Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaee9512338fc50e376d2c9f1a8f641b3d2f1b88737a2a3aa8a16006078410278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Tundra Esports, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 42,229$23,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,766.02 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 36,000$14,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,628.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 26,054$13,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,003 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 20,000$10,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,771.91 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 53c | 12,922$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.64 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 8,431$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.1 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Team Liquid | 55c | 8,232$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 7,564$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.97 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 6,053$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.09 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 5,915$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.03 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 5,900$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.72 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 4,317$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.04 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 3,877$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.37 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 3,785$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.22 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,511$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.85 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 2,611$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.09 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,343$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 2,160$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,536$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.79 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…3cedbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,382$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…9885backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 1,372$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,170$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.89 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,102$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.85 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 58c | 983.2$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.24 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 975$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid | 58c | 969.22$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.22 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 947.71$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.15 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Team Liquid | 55c | 860.45$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.39 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 860$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 51c | 838.79$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.01 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 829.43$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.13 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Team Liquid | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 800$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 74c | 777$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 62c | 756.59$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 727.8$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…a91abacked Team Liquid | 56c | 722$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 716.13$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.77 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…d7e1backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 697.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 659.06$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Team Liquid | 51c | 600$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 535.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 521.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.55 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 52c | 502.23$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.07 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Team Liquid | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Tundra Esports | 31c | 474.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 464.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Team Liquid | 57c | 457.12$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 449.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 444.76$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid | 66c | 443.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 416.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 52c | 395.26$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Tundra Esports | 13c | 385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 344$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Liquid | 61c | 302.25$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Team Liquid | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Liquid | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 272.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Team Liquid | 54c | 268.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 54c | 255.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 233.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 221.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 216.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Liquid | 56c | 214.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…2e89backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 210.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 209.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 200.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Team Liquid | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 190.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Team Liquid | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Liquid | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Liquid | 57c | 176.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Tundra Esports | 28c | 175.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 52c | 171.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Liquid | 54c | 139.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Team Liquid | 55c | 138.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 132.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 122.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 109.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Team Liquid | 55c | 108.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 104.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.