TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba84…a91a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$114.6
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$109.22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$431.34
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$152.48
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$106
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$426.52
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$56.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27.56
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+177.8%+$177.78
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$61
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.97
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+179.3%+$21.51
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-81.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Ribeirobacked Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$127.47
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$36
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$181
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+448.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.