NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Hawks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3d2db6e2b9abf52e32bad711a125e0fd131973f56fc64dd8d91b396a2ccb20c

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Wizards, Hawks
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,050,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $928,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,050,472 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa084…bb99backed Wizards	20c	130,050$26,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,010.07	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Wizards	20c	65,827$12,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,973.1	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards	19c	47,263$9,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,115.67	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	17c	45,474$7,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,675.45	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Wizards	18c	34,640$6,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,257.78	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks	80c	32,284$25,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,456.75	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	1c	26,422$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.22	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Wizards	18c	25,370$4,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,669.12	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Wizards	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Hawks	79c	24,852$19,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,218.97	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Hawks	80c	21,293$17,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,258.6	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	19c	20,441$3,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,807.99	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Wizards	19c	20,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,799.96	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Wizards	20c	19,085$3,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,903.62	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Wizards	17c	17,900$3,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,043	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Wizards	19c	15,789$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	166	40.4%67 W · 99 L	-14.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Wizards	17c	15,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Wizards	19c	13,293$2,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,526.15	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Wizards	21c	13,176$2,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,766.96	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	17c	10,500$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Wizards	17c	9,000$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.99	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	19c	8,660$1,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,653.47	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	6c	8,259$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.23	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Wizards	17c	7,482$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.35	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	0c	7,342$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	13c	6,818$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.76	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Hawks	79c	6,098$4,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280.52	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hawks	80c	6,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Wizards	18c	5,280$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	15c	5,107$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.49	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	7c	5,070$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.32	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac4…2b17backed Wizards	19c	5,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	19c	4,876$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.5	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	4,750$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Wizards	19c	4,411$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.09	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Wizards	19c	4,000$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	386	49.7%192 W · 194 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	18c	3,948$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.37	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	10c	3,789$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.04	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Wizards	5c	3,600$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.2	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59e…22b6backed Wizards	13c	3,595$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b1…aea0backed Wizards	19c	3,200$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Wizards	18c	2,375$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.46	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Wizards	20c	2,358$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.89	426	45.5%194 W · 232 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Wizards	1c	2,308$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.98	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Hawks	79c	2,129$1,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.17	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Wizards	20c	2,125$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.46	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards	3c	2,100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Wizards	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	19c	1,779$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.89	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Wizards	19c	1,767$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.7	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Wizards	19c	1,710$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.9	125	40.8%51 W · 74 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards	16c	1,614$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.78	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Hawks	79c	1,600$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd743…04c3backed Hawks	79c	1,540$1,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.4	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Wizards	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	19c	1,500$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.67	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	18c	1,337$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.66	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	3c	1,300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x645b…a173backed Wizards	19c	1,300$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked Wizards	19c	1,196$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.05	162	51.2%83 W · 79 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Wizards	19c	1,165$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.62	731	31.1%227 W · 504 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	8c	1,102$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.77	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf53e…89b7backed Wizards	21c	1,101$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.64	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards	20c	1,100$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.57	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Wizards	20c	1,100$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.95	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hawks	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Wizards	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Wizards	3c	1,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Wizards	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards	18c	999.85$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.97	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Wizards	19c	995.58$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.16	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	17c	973.99$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.08	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards	3c	918.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.37	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c35…c860backed Wizards	17c	882.35$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards	18c	882$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.04	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	18c	876.98$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.53	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Wizards	14c	853$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.42	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Hawks	79c	829$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.09	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed Wizards	10c	820$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.8	154	52.6%81 W · 73 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe822…f89fbacked Wizards	19c	762.28$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.9	98	50%49 W · 49 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b7…e0f1backed Wizards	17c	680$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.6	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd970…7152backed Wizards	19c	600$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Wizards	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	604	44.2%267 W · 337 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba84…a91abacked Wizards	19c	563.16$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Wizards	19c	547.37$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards	6c	537.55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards	13c	532.56$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.99	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Wizards	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa0…e2f9backed Wizards	18c	520$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Wizards	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	301	32.6%98 W · 203 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Wizards	17c	500$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	407	26%106 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Wizards	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	401	27.2%109 W · 292 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca7…b4adbacked Wizards	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Hawks	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	354	44.6%158 W · 196 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…72afbacked Wizards	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…6a27backed Wizards	8c	497.73$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Hawksthis page
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 16.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Hawks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event