NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe2737e3c5f69f8bb6d84c7785baafea8143ccdae4d8b98bebbe80b332f6fcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Hawks | 46c | 7,960$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.16 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards | 54c | 7,681$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.61 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…420abacked Hawks | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 54c | 5,382$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 46c | 5,015$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.09 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 48c | 4,442$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 53c | 4,001$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 47c | 3,688$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Hawks | 50c | 3,630$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.88 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac54…6843backed Wizards | 56c | 3,300$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 54c | 2,901$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.3 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…57b9backed Wizards | 53c | 2,746$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…ed6cbacked Wizards | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…4d4bbacked Wizards | 53c | 2,501$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,347$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…0399backed Hawks | 47c | 2,201$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Wizards | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…8977backed Hawks | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wizards | 56c | 1,740$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.9 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Wizards | 53c | 1,497$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Wizards | 54c | 1,480$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.42 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Hawks | 46c | 1,380$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.67 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 56c | 1,225$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.5 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Wizards | 54c | 1,115$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 46c | 1,031$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hawks | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hawks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Wizards | 53c | 977.7$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.18 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wizards | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Wizards | 54c | 941$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.14 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 49c | 929.04$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb387…610bbacked Wizards | 56c | 818.17$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Hawks | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 50c | 704$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…109bbacked Hawks | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Wizards | 53c | 660$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…95d8backed Hawks | 47c | 550$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 44c | 528.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 54c | 518.22$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…2c0abacked Wizards | 50c | 496$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…47b7backed Wizards | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee1…7e17backed Wizards | 50c | 488$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccb…a2c6backed Wizards | 50c | 482$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecb…1cebbacked Wizards | 50c | 474$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…9430backed Wizards | 50c | 472$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…ed77backed Hawks | 50c | 456$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…42b8backed Hawks | 50c | 454$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…75aebacked Hawks | 50c | 454$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…6ea8backed Wizards | 50c | 454$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc76…c87dbacked Wizards | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 50c | 448.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…e59fbacked Wizards | 50c | 448$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…9ad3backed Wizards | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…6e1dbacked Wizards | 50c | 442$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…0b67backed Hawks | 50c | 442$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…41e6backed Hawks | 50c | 438$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…be7cbacked Hawks | 50c | 438$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…188abacked Wizards | 50c | 436$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…91bfbacked Hawks | 50c | 425$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…891fbacked Hawks | 50c | 416$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…52d2backed Hawks | 50c | 408$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7b…94d6backed Wizards | 50c | 405$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…be84backed Hawks | 50c | 402$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…6392backed Hawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…7f5bbacked Hawks | 50c | 392$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…e237backed Wizards | 50c | 392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…62b7backed Wizards | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175f…f9f5backed Hawks | 50c | 382$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…82c5backed Wizards | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…66ecbacked Wizards | 50c | 374$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6575backed Hawks | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b0…dffabacked Hawks | 50c | 364$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…e95ebacked Hawks | 50c | 364$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…124bbacked Wizards | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…aa13backed Wizards | 50c | 358$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4928…aa74backed Hawks | 50c | 356$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…b59ebacked Hawks | 50c | 352$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7fc5backed Hawks | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 42c | 348.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…e499backed Hawks | 50c | 332$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e05…387dbacked Hawks | 50c | 332$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…def8backed Wizards | 50c | 326$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…030dbacked Wizards | 50c | 324$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2070…fca5backed Hawks | 50c | 316$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…a4d9backed Hawks | 51c | 311$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Hawks | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Wizards | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wizards | 50c | 290.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 54c | 275$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Hawks | 46c | 264$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Wizards | 50c | 226.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…8380backed Wizards | 50c | 226$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Hawks | 44c | 224.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Hawks | 48c | 208.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…0007backed Hawks | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Hawks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Wizards | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Hawks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)this page
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Wizards vs. HawksHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.