NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988f6dc24c253e8c161e1417268d113f23cb0b2dd40122eb2178cbddffc662cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 53c | 24,086$12,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,760.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 12,143$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,435.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 55c | 8,872$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.52 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 38c | 3,752$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.86 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 3,055$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.15 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 56c | 2,977$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.12 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 2,532$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 44c | 2,298$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.88 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 56c | 2,274$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.37 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 62c | 1,938$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.91 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,811$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.3 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 63c | 1,564$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.8 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 800.82$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 638$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 630$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…9303backed Under | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f28…ad54backed Over | 51c | 504$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…ed12backed Over | 51c | 501$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 489.21$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.86 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…c346backed Under | 49c | 482$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…e92fbacked Over | 51c | 480$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa752…3b19backed Over | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…2c98backed Over | 51c | 477$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…fce5backed Over | 51c | 475.63$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…e78fbacked Under | 49c | 472$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…10e2backed Over | 51c | 471$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…3a38backed Under | 49c | 469$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc74…bf80backed Over | 51c | 468$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be1…5401backed Over | 51c | 468$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825b…5775backed Over | 51c | 465$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…cfd4backed Under | 49c | 462$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…a63bbacked Over | 51c | 458$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…66fcbacked Under | 49c | 458$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda2…4db2backed Under | 49c | 454$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…418cbacked Under | 49c | 453$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185b…ed04backed Under | 49c | 452$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…7f0ebacked Under | 49c | 452$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…5a53backed Over | 51c | 452$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bcc8backed Under | 49c | 452$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…b16bbacked Over | 51c | 451$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 450.19$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…e782backed Under | 49c | 447$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…80bfbacked Under | 49c | 446$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…38c8backed Under | 49c | 441$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f4…089bbacked Under | 49c | 435$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a2…d42ebacked Under | 49c | 431$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…9d43backed Under | 49c | 431$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…4be5backed Over | 51c | 428$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…1b66backed Under | 49c | 425$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…c142backed Over | 51c | 425$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…8418backed Under | 49c | 425$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…188abacked Under | 49c | 421$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae0…82edbacked Under | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…4835backed Under | 49c | 412$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…923cbacked Over | 51c | 411$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…fe00backed Over | 52c | 411$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…df62backed Over | 51c | 411$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…61f7backed Over | 51c | 411$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…56a1backed Over | 51c | 409$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…05acbacked Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…6447backed Over | 51c | 405$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…2202backed Over | 51c | 401$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…96aebacked Over | 51c | 401$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…9e06backed Over | 51c | 401$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6507…c2a2backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 45c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…f03ebacked Under | 49c | 399$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…22e3backed Over | 51c | 399$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 53c | 398.22$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.02 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…712fbacked Over | 51c | 395$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…577cbacked Under | 49c | 390$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…31ddbacked Over | 51c | 387$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…83dfbacked Under | 49c | 387$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…235abacked Over | 51c | 386$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…58febacked Under | 49c | 386$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…af38backed Over | 51c | 385$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…8107backed Over | 51c | 382$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…c62ebacked Over | 51c | 381$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…7968backed Over | 51c | 381$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe451…9aeebacked Under | 49c | 373$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…b376backed Under | 49c | 371$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…0df5backed Under | 49c | 370$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…3569backed Under | 49c | 370$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…a676backed Under | 49c | 365$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132b…5baabacked Under | 49c | 361$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 360.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.82 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…e2f4backed Over | 51c | 358$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…d77ebacked Under | 49c | 358$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9f…28cabacked Over | 51c | 358$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…a158backed Under | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…dbf0backed Under | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…2c87backed Under | 49c | 356$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…c559backed Under | 49c | 355$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…0199backed Over | 51c | 354$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5this page
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Wizards vs. HawksHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.