NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a028c4f355fe30d4a353e0dd31bb5f86f50bca2ae434337648e31521e4e003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $758,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $766,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 50c | 428,745$213,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,916.81 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 50c | 186,040$93,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,020 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 49c | 87,793$42,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,935.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Wizards | 52c | 66,791$34,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,724.51 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Wizards | 50c | 42,849$21,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,405.8 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 50c | 26,499$13,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,364.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Hawks | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.99 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…1f80backed Wizards | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…62cbbacked Wizards | 53c | 14,334$7,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,622.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Wizards | 51c | 13,455$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 48c | 12,647$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 51c | 11,520$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Wizards | 53c | 10,850$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750.5 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Wizards | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 53c | 8,942$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,726.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Wizards | 51c | 8,627$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Hawks | 49c | 8,388$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.74 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Wizards | 53c | 5,400$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 49c | 5,242$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Wizards | 53c | 4,479$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Hawks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…a58cbacked Wizards | 51c | 3,880$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,788$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.3 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 48c | 3,671$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.03 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Wizards | 40c | 3,592$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.96 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Wizards | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Hawks | 54c | 3,320$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.87 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 50c | 3,307$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.49 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,148$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.02 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Wizards | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wizards | 50c | 2,955$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.01 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Hawks | 50c | 2,500$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.82 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Hawks | 50c | 1,963$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.19 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Wizards | 51c | 1,890$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Wizards | 53c | 1,715$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.94 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 40c | 1,693$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Hawks | 48c | 1,289$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.28 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Hawks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hawks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Wizards | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 46c | 907.94$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.29 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 51c | 881.42$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.52 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Hawks | 47c | 854$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.62 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Hawks | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Hawks | 48c | 762.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 53c | 672$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 47c | 630.16$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Hawks | 48c | 626.5$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.78 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hawks | 48c | 533.65$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hawks | 48c | 514.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.89 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 51c | 465.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.38 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Hawks | 70c | 430.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 34c | 430.31$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Hawks | 48c | 395.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Wizards | 49c | 386.91$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Wizards | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Hawks | 53c | 377.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 43c | 338.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Hawks | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…6413backed Wizards | 53c | 316.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Hawks | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Hawks | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Hawks | 53c | 299.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Wizards | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Wizards | 52c | 288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 46c | 287.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Wizards | 46c | 269.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 40c | 257.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 50c | 252.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hawks | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wizards | 50c | 234.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Hawks | 47c | 204.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Wizards | 55c | 198$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Hawks | 48c | 188.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Hawks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Wizards | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 48c | 183.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Hawks | 49c | 180.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Hawks | 48c | 168.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hawks | 60c | 153.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hawks | 49c | 145.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Wizards | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wizards | 48c | 141.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Wizards | 51c | 123.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Hawks | 48c | 108.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…6542backed Wizards | 54c | 102.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wizards | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)this page
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Wizards vs. HawksHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.