TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96b7…e0f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$102.6
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$72
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.07
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$81
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$89.9
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$115.6
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$249.9
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$206.99
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$312
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$42.28
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$161
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$78.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$130.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$148.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.