TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Pacers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,631,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,631,727 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pacers14c357,142$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.8843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers12c218,974$27,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,309.5417050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers12c158,897$19,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,067.632,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Pacers12c50,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0009018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Pacers10c38,614$3,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,861.374151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers12c30,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6006546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Pacers13c22,144$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.7214738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers10c20,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pacers13c17,087$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.4534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Pacers10c16,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.995032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers10c15,935$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.4847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pacers13c14,878$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.1861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Pacers10c14,400$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4408441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pacers13c13,845$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.4841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Pacers14c11,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54085248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.991,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pacers9c9,872$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.4562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Pacers13c9,283$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.7327241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers12c8,442$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.3785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Pacers10c8,214$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.873438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c7,734$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.838820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers13c7,581$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.5464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pacers2c7,383$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4528554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Pacers14c7,172$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.0135438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers14c6,111$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.5132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11ee…85febacked Pacers9c5,868$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5191233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Pacers13c5,367$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.512524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pacers13c5,138$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.9511955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers13c5,050$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Pacers10c4,834$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.393925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x356a…ce32backed Pacers10c4,722$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.21764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers10c4,622$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Pacers12c4,008$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.912740.7%11 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Pacers12c3,957$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.9747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…dd31backed Pacers12c3,906$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Pacers10c3,800$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.996943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Pacers4c3,565$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129300%0 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked Pacers13c3,486$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.756046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2b…4b72backed Pacers10c3,360$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c51…087cbacked Pacers10c3,200$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Pacers16c3,152$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…242abacked Pacers10c2,956$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Pacers9c2,937$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c93…8f21backed Pacers13c2,900$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers13c2,867$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.291,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Pacers10c2,600$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pacers8c2,595$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Pacers13c2,530$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.520838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc0…78babacked Pacers10c2,523$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f5…3723backed Pacers12c2,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ff…3535backed Pacers1c2,281$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pacers10c2,244$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2526353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers8c2,112$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers11c2,110$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…f2d7backed Pacers5c2,039$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.825330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ab…2ae0backed Pacers11c2,010$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers1c2,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9192…92acbacked Pacers10c1,904$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.432552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Pacers6c1,818$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5939943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Pacers11c1,733$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19527846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Pacers13c1,702$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2236950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Pacers10c1,577$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Pacers10c1,434$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3917532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers11c1,400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.453,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers16c1,357$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.422,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe6…9750backed Pacers13c1,346$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Pacers13c1,329$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3228245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3312…437fbacked Pacers10c1,319$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Pacers7c1,284$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.862128.6%6 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks75c1,274$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.477348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers13c1,259$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Pacers12c1,221$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0325226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Pacers11c1,182$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13013642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers10c1,175$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe23…5d53backed Pacers14c1,066$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.241283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Pacers19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Pacers24c1,040$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9125546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Pacers7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Pacers8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Pacers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…1019backed Pacers10c951$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Pacers14c929.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0910946.8%51 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Pacers16c924$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Pacers16c859$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6546940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x933f…54cebacked Pacers14c857.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Pacers14c849.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8511038.2%42 W · 68 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Pacers11c848.45$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3332330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c82…db08backed Pacers10c806$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.61546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714c…8ceabacked Pacers10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Pacers16c781.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.142335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Pacers14c736$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.077754.5%42 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Pacers14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Pacers12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb498…7435backed Pacers10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd85d…f4b3backed Pacers10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9161957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…0f1fbacked Pacers10c650$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.