NBA · resolved market
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4706839777fdc82e58522b7dd3f4e6233945039e16166d5b6a42077b328c569d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,604 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Yes | 2c | 2,900$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 66c | 1,801$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.2 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,702$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 57c | 1,668$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.84 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Yes | 43c | 1,123$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 756.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 35c | 542.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yes | 7c | 465$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1b98backed Yes | 35c | 434.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 57c | 365.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 42c | 360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 44c | 338.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Yes | 41c | 314.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a2c4backed Yes | 35c | 254.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 65c | 105.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Yes | 39c | 95.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…179fbacked Yes | 58c | 86.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Yes | 29c | 51.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 57c | 36.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…c59fbacked No | 69c | 24.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 13.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Pacers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.