TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Pacers55c25,991$14,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,286.1236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers56c10,748$6,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,018.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks47c10,335$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,477.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Pacers54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4004337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers53c7,407$3,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.7117050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3dd…e6ffbacked Knicks47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks44c4,353$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks46c3,535$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Knicks40c3,340$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.118151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c07…60d8backed Pacers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Pacers54c1,859$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks44c1,806$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.33,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers56c1,745$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.251,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks46c1,616$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers56c1,569$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.681,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c6d3backed Pacers53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f8…fcc0backed Pacers53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Knicks45c1,449$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.9558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Knicks47c1,344$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.326439.1%25 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks51c1,263$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.312,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers53c1,199$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.474,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Pacers57c1,140$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Pacers57c1,024$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.3858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks46c958.63$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pacers57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Pacers60c659.83$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.913959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Knicks46c586.96$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks46c551.77$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Pacers56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pacers59c489$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.512,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Knicks48c488.31$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2710844.4%48 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Knicks46c477.95$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9820838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers47c463.24$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…dcb8backed Knicks49c460$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Knicks44c450.46$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Knicks45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Pacers38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pacers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Pacers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks46c358.21$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pacers60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20076250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pacers60c304.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.22,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…09bdbacked Pacers53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Knicks45c296.74$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers47c259.81$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.891,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Knicks45c250$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d6…fbedbacked Pacers71c246.63$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.461764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Pacers59c237.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks45c226.51$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Knicks45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2219950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Knicks45c220.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.442153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Knicks45c220.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.126953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Pacers52c219.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Knicks39c219.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4321349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks46c215.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.081,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Pacers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks48c173.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.271,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Pacers60c167.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c6…c8ffbacked Knicks48c161$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Knicks50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8013843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8194…0c92backed Pacers53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+654.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed Pacers58c151.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.642339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Pacers53c150.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Knicks46c149$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.110144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Knicks48c145.53$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6839943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks41c145.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.651,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks47c139.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.393,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers55c132.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.673,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pacers56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Pacers56c124.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.655843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Knicks41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Pacers58c118.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8829645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks45c117.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.731,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Pacers61c114.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.865259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Knicks45c109.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3962541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pacers56c108.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks49c107.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.162,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Pacers60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6059650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Pacers56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5640541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pacers60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Pacers52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Knicks45c95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Knicks45c92.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9220350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Pacers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Pacers56c91.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks47c89.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Knicks47c88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Pacers57c85.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4917342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Knicks37c81.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5131151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Pacers55c81.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4717643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Knicks45c76.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0723950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers62c75.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.112,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172f…b136backed Pacers56c75.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Pacers56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4237549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Pacers54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Knicks45c74.06$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7320352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf91…ce67backed Pacers53c73.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.021,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Pacers56c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.529845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.