TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,090 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over47c71,439$33,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,882.7387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c49,269$26,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,113.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c8,756$4,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,603.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over48c6,191$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.568648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc318…d892backed Under52c3,188$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6663…2a7bbacked Under52c3,048$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4771…158cbacked Under52c3,041$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…1036backed Under52c3,032$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b0…246bbacked Over48c2,986$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9a…d35abacked Over48c2,985$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbe…6419backed Under52c2,981$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd066…ae20backed Over48c2,979$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dab…fb46backed Over48c2,967$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0fc…d9f7backed Under52c2,946$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd489…54e9backed Under52c2,937$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20f…45aabacked Over48c2,928$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2609…7f01backed Over48c2,918$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19c1…990dbacked Over48c2,917$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a6…2fa4backed Over48c2,908$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe114…9301backed Under52c2,890$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f6…4adebacked Under52c2,875$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc618…e193backed Over48c2,862$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1521…f549backed Under52c2,856$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3231…8344backed Over48c2,853$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3538…e06ebacked Over48c2,849$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68bf…dd5ebacked Under52c2,837$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe586…74f6backed Under52c2,819$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef71…00c7backed Over48c2,797$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8a…33ecbacked Under52c2,774$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b14…5c22backed Under52c2,748$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8783…715abacked Over48c2,734$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0494…eed7backed Over48c2,729$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28cb…2113backed Under52c2,726$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6c…2b2ebacked Over48c2,715$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca26…c874backed Over48c2,707$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b80…111fbacked Under52c2,705$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d5…90f2backed Over48c2,694$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9251…ad33backed Under52c2,688$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa25c…54d2backed Over48c2,685$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994c…08dcbacked Over48c2,676$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb39b…519fbacked Over48c2,667$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce9…6751backed Under52c2,663$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…499dbacked Over48c2,653$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5075…2a41backed Over48c2,645$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ab…0206backed Under52c2,641$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa33…adc4backed Over48c2,638$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed42…49bebacked Over48c2,627$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414c…088dbacked Under52c2,627$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c3…e61dbacked Under52c2,595$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3395…f94abacked Under52c2,592$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43b2…1017backed Under52c2,554$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,425$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,361$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.9280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28e4…e6b0backed Under52c2,358$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,596$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c2…8f23backed Under57c1,354$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7721435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c1,347$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c869.11$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.941,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under54c754.33$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c657.05$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32527746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c367.42$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.733,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under52c280.84$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0425951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f0…0bd2backed Under14c275.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.621216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over45c266.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5319950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Over49c231.9$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.272755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Under53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under55c189$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46c6…541cbacked Over49c178$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Over49c169.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.393053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Under54c152$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.084544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c150.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e4…43ebbacked Over48c140$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over44c134$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0423651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under56c134$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c112.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.583,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3853453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5353339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Under52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.925036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Under54c90.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.096848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…34cdbacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c89.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3510943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5644747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24a…d9fabacked Over48c77.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.921936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-24.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8c…f82dbacked Under52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under51c66.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8416642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b56…c7bebacked Under54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352556%14 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…3c95backed Under58c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163c…428cbacked Under58c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under55c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Under53c42.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.557445.9%34 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x461b…30ddbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674233.3%14 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6727050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.825251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.