TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,907 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b45…9723backed No67c1,535$1,035 inWon+$499.6626069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Yes46c1,300$592 inLost-$5922937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No55c1,000$550 inWon+$4501,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Yes33c857.58$283 inLost-$28320040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No66c600$396 inWon+$2041,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No55c439.64$243 inWon+$196.8290863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c66…0a4fbacked Yes31c368$114 inLost-$113.792015%3 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-61.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Yes32c283.41$90 inLost-$905538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No65c184.53$120 inWon+$64.5397049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No68c169$115 inWon+$54.0889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c143.65$97 inWon+$46.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes41c109.32$45 inLost-$44.649031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x38b8…9bdfbacked Yes32c99.31$32 inLost-$32933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No66c89.32$59 inWon+$30.3792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No68c55.72$38 inWon+$17.8383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Yes36c48.61$17 inLost-$17.53357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd441…87febacked Yes34c45$15 inLost-$15.31233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No60c42.1$25 inWon+$16.9546255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes33c40$13 inLost-$13.24434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No70c40$28 inWon+$12.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd44…17b7backed Yes43c33.9$15 inLost-$14.631020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Yes45c33.08$15 inLost-$1518356.3%103 W · 80 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No67c30$20 inWon+$9.930256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No59c29.93$18 inWon+$12.3288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No69c14.99$10 inWon+$4.71,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.